Southeast · ES · 2026 runoff
Espírito Santo
Flávio is the favorite in Espírito Santo, with 58.6% of the projected valid vote and a 100% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 381K votes for Flávio, out of about 2.22M projected valid votes.
Flávio Bolsonaro58.6%
vs
Lula41.4%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 55.4% and 61.8%
Projected marginFlávio +17.1Flávio has a 100% chance
Projected valid votes2.22M2,223,739
Flávio, first round59.2%Flávio and Lula votes only · −0.6 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202258.0%Runoff against Lula · +0.5 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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