Southeast · RJ · 2026 runoff
Rio de Janeiro
Flávio is the favorite in Rio de Janeiro, with 55.7% of the projected valid vote and a 98% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 1.05M votes for Flávio, a real share of the national race.
Flávio Bolsonaro55.7%
vs
Lula44.3%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 52.4% and 58.9%
Projected marginFlávio +11.4Flávio has a 98% chance
Projected valid votes9.26M9,255,975
Flávio, first round57.4%Flávio and Lula votes only · −1.7 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202256.5%Runoff against Lula · −0.9 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
Other states