Northeast · AL · 2026 runoff
Alagoas
Lula is the favorite in Alagoas, with 55.5% of the projected valid vote and a 98% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 197K votes for Lula, out of about 1.80M projected valid votes.
Flávio Bolsonaro44.5%
vs
Lula55.5%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 41.3% and 47.8%
Projected marginLula +10.9Flávio has a 2% chance
Projected valid votes1.80M1,803,851
Flávio, first round42.5%Flávio and Lula votes only · +2.0 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202241.3%Runoff against Lula · +3.2 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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