Center-West · MT · 2026 runoff
Mato Grosso
Flávio is the favorite in Mato Grosso, with 66.4% of the projected valid vote and a 100% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 649K votes for Flávio, a real share of the national race.
Flávio Bolsonaro66.4%
vs
Lula33.6%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 63.5% and 69.3%
Projected marginFlávio +32.9Flávio has a 100% chance
Projected valid votes1.97M1,974,421
Flávio, first round69.1%Flávio and Lula votes only · −2.6 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202265.1%Runoff against Lula · +1.4 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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