Watchdog · On Point Politics
Follow the money. Follow the people.
Who is paying for the 2026 midterms, which groups they fund, where that money lands, which firms get paid, and which national figures are crossing the country to move a race. Every tie is sourced.
Outside money, closest races$1.36BAcross 16 Senate and governor races
Biggest single donor$254MElon Musk, to the groups we track
Campaign stops tracked15138 national figures since August
Data center fights65Of 82 projects with organized local opposition
Money flow
OpenTexas$308M
Ohio$299M
Michigan$175M
Iowa$127M
Maine$97.6M
North Carolina$73.3M
Alaska$69.1M
Connections
OpenElon Musk $254MMiriam Adelson $65.0MHouse Majority Forward $61.7MMajority Forward $61.0M
Campaign trail
OpenDonald TrumpOct 22 · Sioux City, IA
JD VanceOct 22 · North Platte, NE
Kamala HarrisOct 22 · MS
Andy BeshearOct 22 · Las Vegas, NV
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezOct 22 · Portland, ME
Donald TrumpOct 23 · Fort Myers, FL
The biggest checks in the closest races
General electionTexas PACAgainst James Talarico · TX Senate$149MSenate Leadership FundAgainst Sherrod Brown · OH Senate$69.7MDefend American JobsFor Jon Husted · OH Senate$45.9MSenate Leadership FundAgainst Abdul El-Sayed · MI Senate$36.2MSenate Leadership FundAgainst Josh Turek · IA Senate$35.1MMAGA Inc.Against James Talarico · TX Senate$30.4M
Your Community PACTV advertising against Brad Finstad, via SKDKnickerbocker · 2026-10-09$954K
Your Community PACTV advertising against Max Miller, via Canal Partners Media · 2026-10-09$729K
Your Community PACTV advertising against Robert J. Wittman, via Old Town Media · 2026-10-09$545K
Who gets paid
OpenUnited States of America Inc.$30.2M
Aisle 518$18.1M
Thematic Campaigns$16.0M
Nexus Direct$12.7M
Waterfront Strategies$7.4M
Watchdog reads public reporting on FEC filings, Ledger (On Point's own FEC tracker), campaign announcements and news reports. A tie means money moved or a public act happened. It is never an accusation.