Northeast · RN · 2026 runoff
Rio Grande do Norte
Lula is the favorite in Rio Grande do Norte, with 61.5% of the projected valid vote and a 100% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 472K votes for Lula, a real share of the national race.
Flávio Bolsonaro38.5%
vs
Lula61.5%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 35.4% and 41.7%
Projected marginLula +23.0Flávio has a 0% chance
Projected valid votes2.05M2,053,077
Flávio, first round36.8%Flávio and Lula votes only · +1.7 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202234.9%Runoff against Lula · +3.6 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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