Northeast · CE · 2026 runoff
Ceará
Lula is the favorite in Ceará, with 65.6% of the projected valid vote and a 100% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 1.74M votes for Lula, a real share of the national race.
Flávio Bolsonaro34.4%
vs
Lula65.6%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 31.5% and 37.3%
Projected marginLula +31.3Flávio has a 0% chance
Projected valid votes5.56M5,563,489
Flávio, first round33.1%Flávio and Lula votes only · +1.3 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202230.0%Runoff against Lula · +4.3 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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