18,467,649 ballots cast so far
As of October 22, 2026, 18,467,649 ballots have been cast in the 2026 midterms across 43 reporting states: 10.5 million mail ballots returned and 7.9 million cast in person. In the states that publish party, registered Democrats cast 45.4 percent of those ballots and registered Republicans 30.1 percent.
Party model by state
Every reporting state
43 states| State | Ballots | In person | Of 2022 turnout | Pace | Dem | Rep | Modeled D ballots | Modeled R ballots | Vs expected | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 2,130,520 | 101,681 | 2,028,839 | 26.1% | n/a | n/a | n/a | 749,47135.2% modeled | 887,07241.6% | D +1.1 |
| California | 1,973,289 | 1,973,289 | 0 | 17.7% | +10% | n/a | n/a | 1,158,24058.7% modeled | 549,89727.9% | D +9.5 |
| Florida | 1,841,492 | 1,183,907 | 657,585 | 23.6% | -15% | 40.8% | 38.7% | 754,06140.9% | 709,13238.5% | R +5.3 |
| Georgia | 1,330,455 | 62,716 | 1,267,739 | 33.6% | +1% | n/a | n/a | 570,26942.9% modeled | 458,10134.4% | R +1.6 |
| North Carolina | 1,101,321 | 51,096 | 1,050,225 | 29.1% | +24% | 43.0% | 22.5% | 482,69843.8% | 239,10521.7% | D +3.5 |
| Michigan | 920,773 | 920,773 | 0 | 20.5% | +1% | n/a | n/a | 507,90855.2% modeled | 180,23119.6% | D +2.1 |
| Ohio | 838,614 | 352,641 | 485,973 | 20.0% | n/a | n/a | n/a | 350,99041.9% modeled | 278,25433.2% | R +0.9 |
| Virginia | 832,283 | 239,146 | 593,137 | 27.5% | +58% | n/a | n/a | 405,12048.7% modeled | 205,88824.7% | R +1.3 |
| Arizona | 739,633 | 739,633 | 0 | 28.5% | +38% | 38.9% | 38.2% | 292,60539.6% | 281,11738.0% | D +4.8 |
| Pennsylvania | 720,664 | 720,664 | 0 | 13.3% | -2% | 67.0% | 24.1% | 486,86967.6% | 170,58523.7% | D +0.8 |
| Colorado | 657,781 | 654,809 | 2,972 | 25.9% | +62% | 33.0% | 24.4% | 219,58033.4% | 159,08524.2% | D +5.9 |
| Illinois | 608,365 | 372,901 | 235,464 | 14.7% | n/a | n/a | n/a | 362,21359.5% modeled | 107,42617.7% | D +1.4 |
| Tennessee | 577,423 | 0 | 577,423 | 32.9% | n/a | n/a | n/a | 132,72723.0% modeled | 281,62948.8% | R +0.6 |
| Washington | 485,886 | 485,886 | 0 | 15.8% | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Wisconsin | 420,287 | 317,077 | 103,210 | 15.7% | +19% | n/a | n/a | 202,84948.3% modeled | 93,34922.2% | R +0.1 |
| New Jersey | 417,489 | 417,489 | 0 | 15.8% | +6% | 65.7% | 19.0% | 275,72166.0% | 79,21119.0% | D +8.2 |
| Indiana | 261,094 | 261,094 | 0 | 13.9% | n/a | n/a | n/a | 98,35137.7% modeled | 97,81337.5% | R +2.3 |
| Maryland | 242,744 | 242,744 | 0 | 11.9% | n/a | 68.9% | 16.2% | 166,83768.7% | 39,93116.4% | R +4.5 |
| Nevada | 230,976 | 148,796 | 82,180 | 22.6% | n/a | 39.7% | 35.5% | 89,32738.7% | 85,28736.9% | D +4.9 |
| Minnesota | 202,252 | 121,382 | 80,870 | 8.0% | -30% | n/a | n/a | 108,35453.6% modeled | 38,31118.9% | R +0.1 |
Early vote questions
How many people have voted early in the 2026 midterms?
As of October 22, 2026, 18,467,649 ballots have been cast across 43 reporting states: 10,526,465 mail ballots returned and 7,941,184 cast in person. Another 37,282,083 mail ballots sent or requested have not been returned yet.
Which states report early votes by party?
24 states report the party registration of early voters: Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New Jersey, Maryland, Nevada, New Mexico, Iowa, Arkansas, Oregon, Maine, Nebraska, Kansas, Utah, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Wyoming, Idaho, Kentucky, Connecticut, Oklahoma, Delaware. In those states registered Democrats have cast 45.4% of these ballots, Republicans 30.1% and independents and third parties 24.5%. Party registration shows who has voted, not how they voted. For states that report no party, On Point Polling estimates the party mix from county results and voter demographics.
When is Election Day 2026?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 12 days after the latest count. Early voting dates, mail ballot deadlines and in person hours are set by each state.
Where do these early vote numbers come from?
Counts come from state and county election offices, compiled by civicAPI and refreshed every day. On Point Politics adds the party and demographic estimates, the comparison with 2022 and 2024 and the check against the On Point forecast.
Does the early vote tell us who will win?
Not by itself. Early voters lean older and more partisan than Election Day voters, and the mix changes as more ballots come in. The tracker compares each state with its own pace in 2022 and 2024 and with the On Point forecast, which is the better test of whether a state is running ahead of or behind expectations.
Counts come from civicAPI, which collects them from state election offices. Each state reports on its own schedule and publishes different breakdowns, so a state with no party split simply does not publish one. Pace uses each state's published 2022 and 2024 early vote checkpoints.