South · PR · 2026 runoff
Paraná
Flávio is the favorite in Paraná, with 63.9% of the projected valid vote and a 100% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 1.80M votes for Flávio, a real share of the national race.
Flávio Bolsonaro63.9%
vs
Lula36.1%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 60.8% and 66.9%
Projected marginFlávio +27.7Flávio has a 100% chance
Projected valid votes6.49M6,493,810
Flávio, first round65.8%Flávio and Lula votes only · −1.9 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202262.4%Runoff against Lula · +1.5 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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