Southeast · MG · 2026 runoff
Minas Gerais
Flávio is the favorite in Minas Gerais, with 52.6% of the projected valid vote and a 85% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 626K votes for Flávio, a real share of the national race.
Flávio Bolsonaro52.6%
vs
Lula47.4%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 49.4% and 55.9%
Projected marginFlávio +5.3Flávio has a 85% chance
Projected valid votes11.8M11,830,848
Flávio, first round52.7%Flávio and Lula votes only · −0.0 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202249.8%Runoff against Lula · +2.8 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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