Election Day, Nov 3 10 daysSenate D 78%House D 93%Governors D 86%Forecast updated Oct 24
Brazil 2026Runoff · October 25
Southeast · ES · runoff count

Espírito Santo: Flávio Bolsonaro vs Lula

Waiting for the first numbers from the TSE
PLFlávio Bolsonaro0.00%0 votes
PTLula0.00%0 votes
0.00% of sections counted0 valid votes counted

Projection for Espírito Santo

Before the count: the forecast
Lula 60%55%50%55%Flávio 60%
Flávio 58.6%Flávio +17.1Lula 41.4%
Waiting for the count

Chance of winning now: Flávio 100.0%, Lula 0.0%. Once votes come in, the projection compares each municipality with what the model expected and estimates the votes still to come.

Who leads in each municipality

Loading the municipalities
Lula +40Flávio +40

Pale municipalities have no votes counted yet and show the forecast. Towns that just reported flash on the map.

Municipalities

Those with votes counted come first
MunicipalityVotes countedCountedFlávioLulaForecastDifference
Other states

Source: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court, the TSE, through civicAPI. Official results are those released by the TSE.