North · AC · 2026 runoff
Acre
Flávio is the favorite in Acre, with 68.7% of the projected valid vote and a 100% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 173K votes for Flávio, out of about 464K projected valid votes.
Flávio Bolsonaro68.7%
vs
Lula31.3%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 65.3% and 72.0%
Projected marginFlávio +37.3Flávio has a 100% chance
Projected valid votes464K464,395
Flávio, first round69.2%Flávio and Lula votes only · −0.5 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202270.3%Runoff against Lula · −1.6 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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