Northeast · SE · 2026 runoff
Sergipe
Lula is the favorite in Sergipe, with 63.8% of the projected valid vote and a 100% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 374K votes for Lula, out of about 1.35M projected valid votes.
Flávio Bolsonaro36.2%
vs
Lula63.8%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 33.2% and 39.2%
Projected marginLula +27.7Flávio has a 0% chance
Projected valid votes1.35M1,351,142
Flávio, first round32.8%Flávio and Lula votes only · +3.4 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202232.8%Runoff against Lula · +3.4 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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