Northeast · PB · 2026 runoff
Paraíba
Lula is the favorite in Paraíba, with 63.1% of the projected valid vote and a 100% chance of carrying the state. That is a net 652K votes for Lula, a real share of the national race.
Flávio Bolsonaro36.9%
vs
Lula63.1%
Projected valid vote · in 8 of 10 simulations Flávio lands between 33.9% and 40.0%
Projected marginLula +26.2Flávio has a 0% chance
Projected valid votes2.49M2,490,928
Flávio, first round35.0%Flávio and Lula votes only · +1.9 pts now
Bolsonaro in 202233.4%Runoff against Lula · +3.5 pts now
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Lula +40Flávio +40
The first round comparison uses only Flávio's and Lula's votes. Drag to move the map, use the buttons or Ctrl and scroll to zoom, and double click to reset.
Every municipality
Click a town on the map to find it here| Lula |
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Flávio, Lula and first round are shares of the valid votes for the two. Change is Flávio's forecast minus his first round result.
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