The most accurate pollster of 2026: On Point Polling.

Score is the average of two misses: the margin miss against the D+13.0 projected final, and the average miss on the Democratic and Republican shares against the 55.6 D, 43.0 R counted so far. Lower is better; ties share a rank. Each pollster's last national generic ballot before Election Day with shares as published, from RealClearPolling, ElectionsUSA and Pollcheck. On Point uses its likely voter results with undecideds leaned. On the margin alone The Honest Poll matched D +13 exactly and On Point was 0.1 off; most pollsters publish whole numbers. The D +13.0 result is the projected final once every vote is counted; the 119 million votes counted by the evening of November 5 show D +12.6. On Point's final poll: 1,170 registered voters, fielded October 28, 2026, registered voters, likely voter results with undecideds leaned.

Democratic seats, independents who caucus with them included, from each forecast's final numbers, November 2 to 3. Results are calls plus current leaders: House about 261 with 38 seats still counting; Senate 54 called plus the Alaska and Mississippi leaders; governors 28 called plus the Kansas and Alaska leaders. Senate totals for Sabato, Split Ticket, Race to the WH, Inside Elections, 270toWin and Cook are counted from their final race ratings plus seats not up, with toss ups counted as not won. The race raters' average is the Cook, Inside Elections and Sabato House average. Silver Bulletin House and governor numbers are paywalled; FiftyPlusOne and the Economist ran no governor model.