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Watchdog file ยท ME

Susan M. Collins

Republican, running for U.S. Senate. Now U.S. Senate ME.

Tier 2 compactCook: Toss UpnomineeResearch priority 2
Money ties on file32
Researched decisions50 more from office and committees
Interest blocs8
Compiled2026-10-25

Subject: Susan M. Collins, Republican, U.S. Senator from Maine since 1997, seeking a sixth term in 2026, chair of the Senate Appropriations Committee Compiled: October 25, 2026 for the On Point Politics watchdog database, onpointpolitics.us Data cutoff: September 30, 2026 for campaign filings, as reported October 15, 2026. Outside ad bookings through October 19, 2026. Next scheduled data drop: FEC pre-general report covering through October 14, 2026, and the post-general report due December 3, 2026.

Bottom line up front

Collins is being outraised by Troy Jackson and carried by outside money. She had raised more than $18 million by the end of June 2026, per Boston.com on October 15, 2026, boston.com. Groups backing her had booked about $126 million in ads through the end of the year, per the Bangor Daily News on October 19, 2026, bangordailynews.com.

Four interests combine money and a decision she controls:

  1. Senate Republican leadership. SLF booked nearly $50 million in Maine. Its top donor nationally, One Nation, gave it $132.9 million and booked nearly $35 million of its own Maine ads. The decision is Senate control and her Appropriations gavel.
  2. Billionaires through Pine Tree Results PAC. The super PAC closest to her is run by Scott Reed and funded by Stephen Schwarzman, Ken Griffin and two dark money nonprofits. New Balance owner Jim Davis gave $1 million to a Collins super PAC in 2025.
  3. Dark money networks. Stronger America, the Lexington Fund and the Eighteen Fifty-Four Fund do not disclose donors. The Lexington Fund is part of a network linked to Leonard Leo, which ties it to judicial confirmations.
  4. Defense contractors and federal grantees. As Appropriations chair she wrote more than $425 million of Maine's $460 million in FY2026 earmarks. The Navatek case shows how a contractor tried to buy access through a pro-Collins super PAC.

Committee structure and treasurer

Her candidate ID is S6ME00159 from the roster. The principal committee name, ID and treasurer were not verified because fec.gov is blocked for this project. Spokesperson Blake Kernen speaks for the campaign. A Collins joint fundraising committee had about $1.6 million lined up, and the NRSC bought $2.6 million in ads with the campaign, per the Press Herald on October 15, 2026, pressherald.com. Pine Tree Results PAC and her campaign share limited fundraising functions, which the FEC allows, per the BDN.

Third quarter money. The BDN and Boston.com report she raised $5.2 million, spent $10.9 million and held $5.4 million on September 30 with no debt, bangordailynews.com. The Press Herald reports $3.9 million raised, with only 11 percent of individual money from Maine. The two figures are stored as Contested and not reconciled. Named donors include George W. Bush at $3,500 on August 26, Education Secretary Linda McMahon at $3,500 and Thomas Klingenstein at the personal maximum. She paid Mentzer Media Services nearly $6.5 million for media and Targeted Victory more than $2.8 million for digital work.

Bloc: Senate Republican leadership

Documented. SLF booked nearly $50 million in Maine ads, the largest outside spender. One Nation, its nonprofit sister group, gave SLF $132.9 million through September and booked nearly $35 million in pro-Collins ads. Miriam Adelson and Stephen Schwarzman are among SLF's funders, amounts not stated in the BDN. Overall, the Press Herald counts $151.5 million in Republican aligned ad spending against $110.7 million Democratic aligned.

What they want. Senate control. For Collins personally, control means keeping the Appropriations chair.

What she has said. At a debate she said dark money groups should not exist. Kernen said the campaign is "unwilling to continue to be subjected to lies paid for by dark money without fighting back."

Inference: One Nation money cannot be traced past One Nation. The largest pro-Collins dollars therefore have no named donor on the public record.

Bloc: Billionaires and Pine Tree Results PAC

Documented. Pine Tree Results PAC booked $29.1 million in Maine ads. Its donors include Stephen Schwarzman, Ken Griffin, Stronger America and the Lexington Fund, per the BDN. Reed is a friend of her husband, Tom Daffron, and Reed's lobbying firm paid Daffron as a consultant last year. Nearly 100 billionaires and spouses gave $9.8 million to Collins and allied groups from January 2025 through May 2026, per a Maine Monitor count relayed by the BDN. Jim Davis gave $1 million to a Collins super PAC in 2025, per the Press Herald on September 22, 2026.

Inference: The Daffron payment and the shared fundraising functions put the closest outside group one step from her household. That is a structural conflict question, not an allegation of wrongdoing.

Bloc: Dark money networks

Documented. Stronger America booked nearly $12 million in Maine ads and gave to Pine Tree. Collins attended its July dinner in Washington. The Lexington Fund is part of a network linked to Leonard Leo. The Eighteen Fifty-Four Fund sent $1 million to another pro-Collins group. Its money came almost entirely from Ardleigh Impact Corp. and another Delaware nonprofit, and its treasurer is Les Williamson. Ardleigh is the subject of a pending 2024 Campaign Legal Center FEC complaint alleging it hid the true sources of super PAC money. Groups listing Staci Goede as treasurer gave millions to SLF and Pine Tree. Goede did not respond to the BDN.

Bloc: Defense contractors and appropriations

Documented. Martin Kao, the former CEO of Navatek, says Collins would not meet him in 2018 unless he donated. He says that in late 2019 Reed promised $32 million in Navy contracts for a $500,000 gift. Kao admits sending Reed's super PAC $150,000 through a shell company, pleaded guilty in 2022, and was sentenced in 2025. On August 6, 2019, Navatek and the University of Maine announced an $8 million Navy contract, per the Press Herald on September 22, 2026, pressherald.com. ProPublica reported the FBI examined her campaign finances from 2020 to 2025 before the inquiry ended.

Her response. Deputy chief of staff Annie Clark said the campaign "was never the target of the FBI investigation," that Collins "does not 'steer' contracts," and that Kao is deflecting blame to cut his sentence. Collins says she backed the project at the University of Maine's request. An FBI spokesperson said the bureau "ultimately found nothing implicating Senator Collins."

Earmarks. Collins secured more than $425 million of Maine's $460 million for FY2026 across 156 projects in all 16 counties, per the Maine Morning Star on February 24, 2026, mainemorningstar.com. The largest is $45 million for a University of Maine life sciences complex. Maine ranks second per capita.

Inference: The earmarks are her strongest argument and the reason the Navatek story lands. Both run through the same gavel.

Own finances and disclosure history

Collins and her husband report $4 million to $10 million in assets, per the BDN on October 8, 2026. Congressstock.com estimates the couple's net worth at $7.1 million, per the Press Herald on October 7, 2026, pressherald.com. Her holdings are mutual funds and bank deposits. Daffron holds stocks, bonds and government securities. No stock trading controversy was found in sources read.

Enforcement and controversies

  • Navatek. Stored as Contested above, with her denial and the FBI statement.
  • Reed's 2020 super PAC took a $150,000 gift from a defense contractor that the BDN, citing ProPublica, describes as illegal. That gift is Kao's.
  • Ardleigh complaint. A pending Campaign Legal Center complaint against a funder of a pro-Collins group. It does not name Collins.
  • No FEC or Senate Ethics action against Collins was found.

Deal table

InterestMoney inAskLeverStakeDecision date
Senate GOP leadershipSLF nearly $50M booked; One Nation $35MHold the seatSenate control, Appropriations gavel53 to 47 SenateNovember 3, 2026
Billionaires via Pine Tree$29.1M booked; Davis $1M; $9.8M from billionairesNot statedAppropriations and tax votesNot quantified2027 to 2028
Dark money networksStronger America $12M booked; 1854 Fund $1MNot statedJudicial confirmationsNot quantified2027 onward
Defense and granteesNavatek $150K to Reed's PAC, 2019ContractsDefense appropriations$8M Navy contract; $425M FY2026 earmarksFY2027

Levers and calendar

DecisionWho holds it nowWhenWhich donors care
FY2027 appropriations and earmarksCollins as chairLate 2026 into 2027Contractors, UMaine, grantees
ICE fundingAppropriationsFY2027Detention vendors
Defense procurementAppropriationsAnnualDefense contractors
Senate control and judgesU.S. SenateJanuary 2027SLF, One Nation, Lexington Fund
Medicaid and rural hospital moneyCongress2027 to 2028Hospitals

Calendar. The election is November 3, 2026. FY2027 spending bills run from late 2026 into 2027 under the chair. The new Senate sits in January 2027. The FY2028 cycle follows in 2027 and 2028.

What we could not verify

  • Campaign committee name, ID and treasurer, and the joint fundraising committee's name.
  • Which Q3 figure is right, $5.2 million or $3.9 million.
  • Amounts for Schwarzman, Griffin, Adelson, Stronger America and the Lexington Fund.
  • Which group received the Eighteen Fifty-Four Fund's $1 million and Musk's $10 million mentioned by the BDN.
  • Bodies not read: the ProPublica original report, bostonglobe.com and spectrumlocalnews.com and mainemorningstar.com and bangordailynews.com and rollcall.com and cnbc.com

Every money tie

32 rows, biggest first. Running totals are shaded and should not be added to their parts.
WhoAmountIntoInterestDateStatusSource
Susan Collins, Appropriations chairGrant$425M156 Maine projects in 16 countiesLegislative leadershipFY2026Confirmedmainemorningstar.comUMaine Orono complex $45M is the largest; Maine 2nd per capita
One NationPolitical committee, one step back$133Mrunning totalSenate Leadership FundParty and leadershipthrough September 2026Confirmedbangordailynews.comNonprofit that does not disclose funders; SLF top donor nationally, not Maine specific
Senate Leadership FundIndependent expenditure for$50.0Mrunning totalSusan CollinsParty and leadershipthrough year end, as of 2026-10-19Secondarybangordailynews.comAdImpact via BDN; largest outside spender
WinSenateIndependent expenditure against$38.6Mrunning totalSusan CollinsOpponent contextas of 2026-10-19Secondarybangordailynews.comFunded by Senate Majority PAC
One NationIndependent expenditure for$35.0Mrunning totalSusan CollinsIdeological groupsas of 2026-10-19Secondarybangordailynews.comAdImpact via BDN
Pine Tree Results PACIndependent expenditure for$29.1Mrunning totalSusan CollinsParty and leadershipas of 2026-10-19Secondarybangordailynews.comAdImpact via BDN; shares limited fundraising functions with the campaign
Donors, allIndividual$18.0Mrunning totalCollins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Party and leadershipthrough 2026-06-30Confirmedboston.com
Billionaires and spouses, nearly 100Individual$9.8Mrunning totalCollins campaign and allied groupsBillionaire megadonorJanuary 2025 to May 2026Secondarybangordailynews.comMaine Monitor count relayed by BDN
U.S. NavyContract, one step back$8.0MNavatek and University of MaineDefense contractors2019-08-06Confirmedpressherald.comMaritime propulsion research; Collins says she backed it at UMaine's request
Collins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Vendor payment$6.5MMentzer Media Services, Towson MDCampaign vendorsQ3 2026Confirmedpressherald.comMedia buys
Donors, allIndividual$5.2MCollins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Party and leadership2026-07-01 to 2026-09-30Contestedbangordailynews.comBDN and Boston.com say $5.2M; Press Herald says $3.9M; not reconciled
Donors, allIndividual$3.9MCollins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Party and leadership2026-07-01 to 2026-09-30Contestedpressherald.comPress Herald; only 11 percent of individual money from Maine
Collins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Vendor payment$2.8MTargeted Victory, Arlington VACampaign vendorsQ3 2026Confirmedpressherald.comDigital fundraising and ads
NRSCParty$2.6MCollins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Party and leadershipas of 2026-10-15Secondarypressherald.comAdImpact via Press Herald
Collins joint fundraising committeePolitical committee$1.6MCollins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Party and leadershipas of 2026-10-15Secondarypressherald.comName not given
Eighteen Fifty-Four FundPolitical committee, one step back$1.0MAnother pro-Collins group, not named in summaryIdeological groups2025 to 2026 cycleConfirmedbangordailynews.comTreasurer Les Williamson; funded mostly by Ardleigh Impact Corp., subject of a pending 2024 CLC FEC complaint
Jim DavisIndividual, one step back$1.0MCollins super PAC, name not givenBillionaire megadonor2025Confirmedpressherald.comNew Balance owner
Martin Kao, NavatekCorporation, one step back$150KPro-Collins super PAC led by Scott ReedDefense contractorslate 2019Confirmedpressherald.comKao admitted the illegal gift and pleaded guilty in 2022
George W. BushIndividual$4KCollins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Party and leadership2026-08-26Confirmedpressherald.com
Linda McMahonIndividual$4KCollins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Trump worldQ3 2026Confirmedpressherald.comU.S. Education Secretary
Thomas KlingensteinIndividualpersonal maximumCollins Senate campaign committee, FEC S6ME00159Ideological groupsQ3 2026Confirmedpressherald.com
Miriam AdelsonIndividual, one step backamount not statedSenate Leadership FundBillionaire megadonor2025 to 2026 cycleConfirmedbangordailynews.com
Stephen SchwarzmanIndividual, one step backamount not statedSenate Leadership FundBillionaire megadonor2025 to 2026 cycleConfirmedbangordailynews.com
Scott ReedRelationshipn/aPine Tree Results PACParty and leadership2026Confirmedbangordailynews.comRuns the PAC; friend of Collins's husband
Stephen SchwarzmanIndividual, one step backamount not statedPine Tree Results PACBillionaire megadonor2025 to 2026 cycleConfirmedbangordailynews.com
Ken GriffinIndividual, one step backamount not statedPine Tree Results PACBillionaire megadonor2025 to 2026 cycleConfirmedbangordailynews.com
Stronger AmericaPolitical committee, one step backamount not statedPine Tree Results PACIdeological groups2025 to 2026 cycleConfirmedbangordailynews.comNonprofit, donors undisclosed; booked nearly $12M in its own Maine ads; Collins attended its July dinner
Lexington FundPolitical committee, one step backamount not statedPine Tree Results PACIdeological groups2025 to 2026 cycleConfirmedbangordailynews.comNonprofit tied to a Leonard Leo linked network per BDN
Martin Kao, NavatekRelationshipn/aSusan CollinsDefense contractors2019 to 2020Contestedpressherald.comKao alleges Reed promised $32M in Navy contracts for $500K and Collins committed to them; Collins office says she does not steer contracts and Kao is deflecting; FBI says it found nothing implicating her
Glenn MandigoRelationship, one step backn/aNavatek and University of MaineDefense contractors2018Confirmedpressherald.comLobbyist for both
Tom DaffronRelationshipn/aSusan CollinsParty and leadership2025Confirmedbangordailynews.comHusband; paid as consultant by Reed's lobbying firm last year per BDN
Troy JacksonRelationshipn/aSusan CollinsOpponent context2026-07-25Confirmedbangordailynews.comDemocratic nominee after Platner withdrew

Decisions on the desk

What this office controls and which interests care about it
DecisionWhere it sitsWhenWho caresStakePositionSource
FY2027 appropriations bills and earmarksCollins as Senate Appropriations chairFY2027 cycle, late 2026 into 2027Defense contractors; University of Maine; every federal grantee$425M of Maine's $460M FY2026 earmarks were hersRuns on seniority and federal money for Mainemainemorningstar.com
Immigration enforcement fundingSenate AppropriationsFY2027Detention vendors; immigration groups on the other sideAbout $35B added for ICE in a bill she advancedSays bill adds body cameras, training and IG oversightmainepublic.org
Defense procurement and research earmarksSenate Appropriations, defense subcommitteeAnnualDefense contractors, including the Navatek history$8M 2019 Navy contract in the Navatek caseDenies steering contracts; FBI found nothing implicating herpressherald.com
Senate control and confirmations, including judgesU.S. SenateJanuary 2027 onwardSLF, One Nation, Lexington Fund networkNearly $50M SLF plus $35M One Nation booked in MainePoints to her effort to defeat Hegseth as proof of independenceboston.com
Medicaid and rural hospital fundingCongress2027 to 2028Hospitals; health groups$50B rural health fund she helped writeVoted to advance OBBBA, then against final bill over Medicaid cutspressherald.com
Research notes: findings, inferences and gaps

Audit trail for ME-susan-m-collins, compiled October 25, 2026. Searches were shared with the Jackson file.

Thread 1: Committees and totals

Takeaway

Over $18M by June 30; Q3 figure differs by outlet.

Cited findings

  • More than $18M by end of June; Q3 $5.2M. boston.com
  • Q3 $5.2M raised, $10.9M spent, $5.4M cash, no debt; 85 percent of disclosed money from out of state. bangordailynews.com
  • Q3 $3.9M raised; Bush, McMahon, Klingenstein; Mentzer and Targeted Victory payments; JFC $1.6M; NRSC $2.6M. pressherald.com

Inferences

  • The $1.3M gap may be JFC transfers counted by one outlet and not the other.

Gaps

  • FEC IDs, treasurer, Dirigo PAC or any leadership PAC.

Thread 2: Outside money

Cited findings

  • SLF nearly $50M; One Nation $132.9M to SLF and $35M own ads; Pine Tree $29.1M with Schwarzman, Griffin, Stronger America, Lexington Fund; 1854 Fund and Ardleigh; Goede; Reed and Daffron; $9.8M from billionaires; WinSenate $38.6M. bangordailynews.com

Gaps

  • Dollar amounts for named Pine Tree donors.

Thread 3: Navatek and appropriations

Cited findings

  • Kao allegations, $150K shell gift, $8M Navy contract Aug 6, 2019, FBI statement, Clark rebuttal, Jim Davis $1M. pressherald.com
  • Debate exchange on Navatek and her UMaine explanation. pressherald.com
  • $425M of $460M FY2026 earmarks; UMaine $45M. mainemorningstar.com

Gaps

  • ProPublica original not read.

Thread 4: Votes and record

Cited findings

  • Voted to advance OBBBA then against it; $50B rural health fund; Iran war powers votes; about $35B ICE bill; 96 versus 72 percent Trump alignment dispute; Kavanaugh. mainepublic.org

Campaign intel

  • Main message. Seniority and results: the Appropriations gavel, federal money for Maine, and a record of independence, citing her effort against Hegseth. mainepublic.org
  • Biggest vulnerability as opponents frame it. That she gives Trump the votes he needs, "100% of the time" in Jackson's words, plus the Navatek pay to play allegation she denies. boston.com and pressherald.com
  • Strongest coalition. Repeat Collins voters and state focused voters; she wins about one in five Trump disapprovers and holds enough Democrats to tie, per CBS News and YouGov, September 23 to October 1. cbsnews.com
  • Recent event. At the final October 15 Bangor debate, Jackson told her "shut up" after she tied a protester to him; the Maine GOP called it unacceptable and she is using it in ads per a RedState headline not read. boston.com
  • Polls. Marist, October 1 to 4: Jackson 51, Collins 47 among registered voters; independents Jackson 52 to 45; 57 percent expect Collins to win. maristpoll.marist.edu

From the On Point Watchdog Database, compiled 2026-10-25. Researched by the Watchdog desk from sources read in full; rows marked Confirmed mostly rest on news reports rather than the filings themselves, so check a figure against the filing before quoting it. FEC pre general report covers through Oct 14, 2026; post general report due Dec 3, 2026