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GA GovBottoms D +0.6SC SenAndrews D +1.4NE GovPillen R +1.5AK SenPeltola D +1.6IA SenTurek D +2.1ME SenJackson D +2.2TX SenTalarico D +2.4TX GovAbbott R +2.6KS GovHolscher D +2.6WI GovCrowley D +2.7KS SenHamilton D +2.8NE SenOsborn I +3.0MI SenEl-Sayed D +3.0NV GovFord D +3.3OH SenBrown D +3.7OH GovActon D +4.1
2026 ballot measure forecast

Colorado Proposition 137

Sporting goods sales tax for conservation

Exempts sporting goods sales tax revenue from TABOR refunds and dedicates it to water, land, forest conservation and wildfire prevention. The forecast has Yes at 55.0 percent against the 50 percent it needs, a 69% chance to pass.

Leans passCitizen initiated statuteEnvironment and energyUpdated October 22, 2026
Chance to pass
69%
2,000 simulations
Forecast Yes
55.0%
80% range 42 to 68
Needs
50%
a simple majority
Polling average
None
No public polls found
Where the Yes vote lands
needs 50
2035506580
History and structure
55.0% Yes
Polls
None
Forecast
55.0% Yes
Yes leans
Neither party
Rule to pass
Simple majority of votes cast on the measure.
The campaign

Citizen initiative; Colorado Democratic Party opposes.

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Amendment 83
Constitutional right to hunt and fish
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Amendment 85
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Amendment 86
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Proposition 132
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Proposition 133
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Proposition 134
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Proposition 135
Ban gender transition surgeries for minors
57%
Proposition 136
Cap income tax rate at 4.4 percent
51%

Proposition 137 by county

Conejos CountyJackson CountyArchuleta CountyWashington CountyGarfield CountyRio Grande CountyMorgan CountyElbert CountyMontrose CountyOtero CountyTeller CountyPhillips CountyYuma CountyPueblo CountyAlamosa CountyBaca CountyMontezuma CountyArapahoe CountyMineral CountyDolores CountyJefferson CountyDelta CountyGrand CountySaguache CountySummit CountyGunnison CountyCostilla CountyWeld CountyLas Animas CountyRoutt CountyDouglas CountyRio Blanco CountyBroomfield CountyDenver CountyBoulder CountyLarimer CountyCrowley CountyCuster CountyEl Paso CountyGilpin CountyHuerfano CountyOuray CountyCheyenne CountyMoffat CountyPitkin CountyProwers CountySan Juan CountyLa Plata CountyHinsdale CountyKit Carson CountySan Miguel CountyClear Creek CountyKiowa CountyPark CountyLake CountyLincoln CountyAdams CountyEagle CountyLogan CountySedgwick CountyChaffee CountyFremont CountyMesa CountyBent CountyEl PasoDenverJeffersonArapahoeDouglasAdamsLarimerBoulderWeldMesaPuebloBroomfield
No +30Yes +30Click a county to zoom · arrow keys step through counties by size
Where the margin is won
El Paso County: Yes +31,516Denver County: Yes +31,191Jefferson County: Yes +30,437Arapahoe County: Yes +27,537Douglas County: Yes +18,943Adams County: Yes +18,729Larimer County: Yes +18,513Boulder County: Yes +16,805Weld County: Yes +14,348Mesa County: Yes +7,660Pueblo County: Yes +7,243Broomfield County: Yes +3,839La Plata County: Yes +3,014Garfield County: Yes +2,561Eagle County: Yes +2,357Fremont County: Yes +2,195Montrose County: Yes +2,146Delta County: Yes +1,632Elbert County: Yes +1,537Summit County: Yes +1,493Routt County: Yes +1,375Teller County: Yes +1,375Montezuma County: Yes +1,285Chaffee County: Yes +1,175Morgan County: Yes +1,123Park County: Yes +1,012Pitkin County: Yes +957Gunnison County: Yes +929Logan County: Yes +893Grand County: Yes +823Archuleta County: Yes +775Otero County: Yes +764Las Animas County: Yes +678Alamosa County: Yes +648Moffat County: Yes +568Clear Creek County: Yes +521Rio Grande County: Yes +520Prowers County: Yes +452San Miguel County: Yes +411Yuma County: Yes +401Huerfano County: Yes +381Conejos County: Yes +346Gilpin County: Yes +334Lake County: Yes +323Ouray County: Yes +323Custer County: Yes +318Kit Carson County: Yes +312Rio Blanco County: Yes +309Saguache County: Yes +293Washington County: Yes +242Lincoln County: Yes +230Bent County: Yes +201Phillips County: Yes +201Baca County: Yes +172Costilla County: Yes +172Crowley County: Yes +169Dolores County: Yes +126Sedgwick County: Yes +115Cheyenne County: Yes +90Kiowa County: Yes +72Jackson County: Yes +69Hinsdale County: Yes +50Mineral County: Yes +46San Juan County: Yes +42
Yes +265,317 net votes from 64 countiesStatewide Yes +10.0, a 265,317 vote marginNo +0 net votes from 0 counties

Projected vote

2,661,961 votes on the question
ChoiceVotesShare
Yes1,463,63955.0%
No1,198,32245.0%
Total2,661,961100%
CountyYesNoTotalYes share
El Paso County173,858142,342316,20055.0%
Denver County172,066140,875312,94155.0%
Jefferson County167,914137,477305,39155.0%
Arapahoe County151,913124,376276,28955.0%
Douglas County104,50385,560190,06355.0%
Adams County103,32084,591187,91155.0%
Larimer County102,13183,618185,74955.0%
Boulder County92,70975,904168,61355.0%
Weld County79,15164,803143,95455.0%
Mesa County42,25734,59776,85455.0%
Pueblo County39,95832,71572,67355.0%
Broomfield County21,17817,33938,51755.0%
La Plata County16,62913,61530,24455.0%
Garfield County14,12711,56625,69355.0%
Eagle County12,99910,64223,64155.0%
Fremont County12,1119,91622,02755.0%
Montrose County11,8389,69221,53055.0%
Delta County9,0037,37116,37455.0%
Elbert County8,4786,94115,41955.0%
Summit County8,2366,74314,97955.0%
Teller County7,5856,21013,79555.0%
Routt County7,5836,20813,79155.0%
Montezuma County7,0895,80412,89355.0%
Chaffee County6,4865,31111,79755.0%
Morgan County6,1925,06911,26155.0%
Park County5,5814,56910,15055.0%
Pitkin County5,2774,3209,59755.0%
Gunnison County5,1254,1969,32155.0%
Logan County4,9264,0338,95955.0%
Grand County4,5423,7198,26155.0%
Archuleta County4,2763,5017,77755.0%
Otero County4,2173,4537,67055.0%
Las Animas County3,7423,0646,80655.0%
Alamosa County3,5762,9286,50455.0%
Moffat County3,1322,5645,69655.0%
Clear Creek County2,8712,3505,22155.0%
Rio Grande County2,8692,3495,21855.0%
Prowers County2,4902,0384,52855.0%
San Miguel County2,2691,8584,12755.0%
Yuma County2,2121,8114,02355.0%
Huerfano County2,1041,7233,82755.0%
Conejos County1,9071,5613,46855.0%
Gilpin County1,8431,5093,35255.0%
Ouray County1,7851,4623,24755.0%
Lake County1,7821,4593,24155.0%
Custer County1,7511,4333,18455.0%
Kit Carson County1,7241,4123,13655.0%
Rio Blanco County1,7031,3943,09755.0%
Saguache County1,6151,3222,93755.0%
Washington County1,3321,0902,42255.0%
Lincoln County1,2661,0362,30255.0%
Bent County1,1129112,02355.0%
Phillips County1,1069052,01155.0%
Costilla County9517791,73055.0%
Baca County9487761,72455.0%
Crowley County9337641,69755.0%
Dolores County6925661,25855.0%
Sedgwick County6335181,15155.0%
Cheyenne County49440489855.0%
Kiowa County39832672455.0%
Jackson County38131269355.0%
Hinsdale County27722750455.0%
Mineral County25220645855.0%
San Juan County23118942055.0%

Projected 2026 votes: each county's expected turnout, less the roughly 6 percent of voters who skip a ballot question, times its forecast Yes share. The measure needs 50.0 percent Yes to pass.

Polls of the measure

no polls
PollsterSampleEndedYesNoUndecidedYes, adjusted
No public polls of this measure. The forecast rests on how comparable measures have run and how it reached the ballot.
How this is built
Proposition 137 is forecast as a environment and energy measure whose Yes vote leans to neither party. Comparable measures from 2018 to 2024 set how far its Yes share moves with Colorado's partisanship and with each county's 2024 presidential vote, and how it reached the ballot moves it further. Polls then pull the forecast toward them by recency and size, after splitting undecided voters two to one for No. Sources: news.ballotpedia.org, koaa.com, coloradodems.org. All measures.