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GA GovBottoms D +0.6SC SenAndrews D +1.4NE GovPillen R +1.5AK SenPeltola D +1.6IA SenTurek D +2.1ME SenJackson D +2.2TX SenTalarico D +2.4TX GovAbbott R +2.6KS GovHolscher D +2.6WI GovCrowley D +2.7KS SenHamilton D +2.8NE SenOsborn I +3.0MI SenEl-Sayed D +3.0NV GovFord D +3.3OH SenBrown D +3.7OH GovActon D +4.1
2026 ballot measure forecast

Colorado Amendment 82

Constitutional right to natural gas

Creates a consumer right to buy natural gas for cooking or heating and lets utilities and distributors sell it. The forecast has Yes at 45.8 percent against the 55 percent it needs, a 18% chance to pass.

Likely to failCitizen initiated constitutional amendmentEnvironment and energyUpdated October 22, 2026
Chance to pass
18%
2,000 simulations
Forecast Yes
45.8%
80% range 33 to 59
Needs
55%
55 percent of the votes on the question
Polling average
None
No public polls found
Where the Yes vote lands
needs 55
2035506580
History and structure
45.8% Yes
Polls
None
Forecast
45.8% Yes
Yes leans
Republican
Rule to pass
Colorado constitutional amendments need 55 percent of votes cast on the measure.
The campaign

Citizen initiative; Colorado Democratic Party opposes.

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Amendment 82 by county

Conejos CountyJackson CountyArchuleta CountyWashington CountyGarfield CountyRio Grande CountyMorgan CountyElbert CountyMontrose CountyOtero CountyTeller CountyPhillips CountyYuma CountyPueblo CountyAlamosa CountyBaca CountyMontezuma CountyArapahoe CountyMineral CountyDolores CountyJefferson CountyDelta CountyGrand CountySaguache CountySummit CountyGunnison CountyCostilla CountyWeld CountyLas Animas CountyRoutt CountyDouglas CountyRio Blanco CountyBroomfield CountyDenver CountyBoulder CountyLarimer CountyCrowley CountyCuster CountyEl Paso CountyGilpin CountyHuerfano CountyOuray CountyCheyenne CountyMoffat CountyPitkin CountyProwers CountySan Juan CountyLa Plata CountyHinsdale CountyKit Carson CountySan Miguel CountyClear Creek CountyKiowa CountyPark CountyLake CountyLincoln CountyAdams CountyEagle CountyLogan CountySedgwick CountyChaffee CountyFremont CountyMesa CountyBent CountyEl PasoDenverJeffersonArapahoeDouglasAdamsLarimerBoulderWeldMesaPuebloBroomfield
No +30Yes +30Click a county to zoom · arrow keys step through counties by size
Where the margin is won
Weld County: Yes +14,985El Paso County: Yes +12,582Mesa County: Yes +9,490Fremont County: Yes +4,629Elbert County: Yes +4,537Douglas County: Yes +4,499Montrose County: Yes +3,725Delta County: Yes +3,143Morgan County: Yes +3,127Logan County: Yes +2,991Teller County: Yes +2,641Moffat County: Yes +2,180Yuma County: Yes +1,624Montezuma County: Yes +1,343Kit Carson County: Yes +1,336Prowers County: Yes +1,308Rio Blanco County: Yes +1,201Washington County: Yes +1,184Otero County: Yes +1,046Pueblo County: Yes +953Lincoln County: Yes +910Park County: Yes +798Baca County: Yes +773Phillips County: Yes +769Custer County: Yes +622Rio Grande County: Yes +610Archuleta County: Yes +497Cheyenne County: Yes +467Crowley County: Yes +461Bent County: Yes +429Las Animas County: Yes +413Dolores County: Yes +382Sedgwick County: Yes +381Kiowa County: Yes +352Conejos County: Yes +299Alamosa County: Yes +297Jackson County: Yes +228Huerfano County: Yes +126Hinsdale County: Yes +28Mineral County: Yes +28Denver County: No +112,847Boulder County: No +60,334Jefferson County: No +38,714Arapahoe County: No +36,072Larimer County: No +21,557Adams County: No +12,550Broomfield County: No +6,939La Plata County: No +3,688Eagle County: No +3,675Summit County: No +3,498Pitkin County: No +2,654Routt County: No +2,419Gunnison County: No +1,728San Miguel County: No +1,289Chaffee County: No +1,095Garfield County: No +709Clear Creek County: No +576Ouray County: No +441Lake County: No +357Gilpin County: No +297Costilla County: No +172Saguache County: No +109Grand County: No +93San Juan County: No +85
Yes +87,394 net votes from 40 countiesStatewide No +8.4, a 224,504 vote marginNo +311,898 net votes from 24 counties

Projected vote

2,661,958 votes on the question
ChoiceVotesShare
Yes1,218,72745.8%
No1,443,23154.2%
Total2,661,958100%
CountyYesNoTotalYes share
El Paso County164,391151,809316,20052.0%
Denver County100,047212,894312,94132.0%
Jefferson County133,338172,052305,39043.7%
Arapahoe County120,109156,181276,29043.5%
Douglas County97,28192,782190,06351.2%
Adams County87,681100,231187,91246.7%
Larimer County82,096103,653185,74944.2%
Boulder County54,139114,473168,61232.1%
Weld County79,47064,485143,95555.2%
Mesa County43,17233,68276,85456.2%
Pueblo County36,81335,86072,67350.7%
Broomfield County15,78922,72838,51741.0%
La Plata County13,27816,96630,24443.9%
Garfield County12,49213,20125,69348.6%
Eagle County9,98313,65823,64142.2%
Fremont County13,3288,69922,02760.5%
Montrose County12,6288,90321,53158.7%
Delta County9,7586,61516,37359.6%
Elbert County9,9785,44115,41964.7%
Summit County5,7419,23914,98038.3%
Teller County8,2185,57713,79559.6%
Routt County5,6868,10513,79141.2%
Montezuma County7,1185,77512,89355.2%
Chaffee County5,3516,44611,79745.4%
Morgan County7,1944,06711,26163.9%
Park County5,4744,67610,15053.9%
Pitkin County3,4726,1269,59836.2%
Gunnison County3,7965,5249,32040.7%
Logan County5,9752,9848,95966.7%
Grand County4,0844,1778,26149.4%
Archuleta County4,1373,6407,77753.2%
Otero County4,3583,3127,67056.8%
Las Animas County3,6093,1966,80553.0%
Alamosa County3,4003,1036,50352.3%
Moffat County3,9381,7585,69669.1%
Clear Creek County2,3222,8985,22044.5%
Rio Grande County2,9142,3045,21855.8%
Prowers County2,9181,6104,52864.4%
San Miguel County1,4192,7084,12734.4%
Yuma County2,8231,1994,02270.2%
Huerfano County1,9761,8503,82651.6%
Conejos County1,8841,5853,46954.3%
Gilpin County1,5271,8243,35145.6%
Ouray County1,4031,8443,24743.2%
Lake County1,4421,7993,24144.5%
Custer County1,9031,2813,18459.8%
Kit Carson County2,2369003,13671.3%
Rio Blanco County2,1499483,09769.4%
Saguache County1,4141,5232,93748.1%
Washington County1,8036192,42274.4%
Lincoln County1,6066962,30269.8%
Bent County1,2267972,02360.6%
Phillips County1,3906212,01169.1%
Costilla County7799511,73045.0%
Baca County1,2494761,72572.4%
Crowley County1,0796181,69763.6%
Dolores County8204381,25865.2%
Sedgwick County7663851,15166.6%
Cheyenne County68221589776.0%
Kiowa County53818672474.3%
Jackson County46123369466.4%
Hinsdale County26623850452.8%
Mineral County24321545853.1%
San Juan County16725241939.9%

Projected 2026 votes: each county's expected turnout, less the roughly 6 percent of voters who skip a ballot question, times its forecast Yes share. The measure needs 55.0 percent Yes to pass.

Polls of the measure

no polls
PollsterSampleEndedYesNoUndecidedYes, adjusted
No public polls of this measure. The forecast rests on how comparable measures have run and how it reached the ballot.
How this is built
Amendment 82 is forecast as a environment and energy measure whose Yes vote leans Republican. Comparable measures from 2018 to 2024 set how far its Yes share moves with Colorado's partisanship and with each county's 2024 presidential vote, and how it reached the ballot moves it further. Polls then pull the forecast toward them by recency and size, after splitting undecided voters two to one for No. Sources: news.ballotpedia.org, koaa.com, coloradodems.org. All measures.