2026 forecast · New Jersey 8th
Rob Menendez is unopposed for New Jersey's 8th District.
Rob Menendez vs No Republican on the ballot. The seat is uncontested.
Safe DModel D +100.0Updated October 22, 2026
RatingSafe D100% chance for Menendez
Model marginUncontestedNo polls in the race
80 percent rangeD +100.0 to D +100.02,000 simulations
Projected votes283,250Menendez 0.0%
The district map
Every district in the state, shaded by its rating
New Jersey districts
12 districtsSafe DLikely DLean DToss upLean RLikely RSafe R
Vote share
Each candidate's projected share and the range of 80 percent of simulations
Projected district vote
283,250 votes| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Menendez D | 0 | 0.0% |
| No Republican on the ballot R | 0 | 0.0% |
| Total | 283,250 | 100% |
Uncontested by one of the major parties.
The trend
Each side's chance of winning over the forecast's recent updates
Polling
Every poll in the average, and how the model reads it
Polls of the race
| Pollster | Sample | Age | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| On Point average | Weighted average | No polls |
Each margin is the poll as the pollster published it. The forecast counts every poll after its house effect and the undecided split, which is what the trail above shows; hover a margin for the counted value. Lean R and Lean D mark partisan leaning firms.
Model margin
Uncontested
Chance of winning
Rob Menendez100%
No Republican on the ballot0%
How the model gets there
Partisan leanR +24.0
FundamentalsD +100.0
With pollsD +100.0
How we got here
From the state's partisan lean to the forecast, one stage at a time
Methodology
Every county is rebuilt by simulating voters going to the polls, 2,000 times, from On Point Polling survey data, past results, and the polling average. How the model works.