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GA GovBottoms D +0.6SC SenAndrews D +1.4NE GovPillen R +1.5AK SenPeltola D +1.6IA SenTurek D +2.1ME SenJackson D +2.2TX SenTalarico D +2.4TX GovAbbott R +2.6KS GovHolscher D +2.6WI GovCrowley D +2.7KS SenHamilton D +2.8NE SenOsborn I +3.0MI SenEl-Sayed D +3.0NV GovFord D +3.3OH SenBrown D +3.7OH GovActon D +4.1
2026 state legislative forecast

Georgia Senate forecast

Republicans win control of the Georgia Senate in 93% of 2,000 simulations, against a Republican majority today. All 56 seats are on the 2026 ballot; 1 race is within a 35 to 65 split.

Safe RUpdated October 22, 2026Seats 56On the ballot 56Georgia HouseAll chambers
Chance of control
3%D93%R
Democratic seats, 80% range
23 to 27
Median 25 ยท 29 for a majority
Favored to flip
1to D0to R
After 2024: 23 D, 33 R
Environment
D +8.4
Shift from the 2024 presidential vote

Georgia Senate map

District 1: Democrats 20%District 2: Democrats >99%District 3: Democrats <1%District 4: Democrats <1%District 5: Democrats >99%District 6: Democrats <1%District 7: Democrats >99%District 8: Democrats <1%District 9: Democrats >99%District 10: Democrats >99%District 11: Democrats <1%District 12: Democrats >99%District 13: Democrats <1%District 14: Democrats >99%District 15: Democrats >99%District 16: Democrats <1%District 17: Democrats >99%District 18: Democrats <1%District 19: Democrats <1%District 20: Democrats <1%District 21: Democrats <1%District 22: Democrats >99%District 23: Democrats 3%District 24: Democrats <1%District 25: Democrats <1%District 26: Democrats >99%District 27: Democrats <1%District 28: Democrats >99%District 29: Democrats <1%District 30: Democrats <1%District 31: Democrats <1%District 32: Democrats 27%District 33: Democrats >99%District 34: Democrats >99%District 35: Democrats >99%District 36: Democrats >99%District 37: Democrats 30%District 38: Democrats >99%District 39: Democrats >99%District 40: Democrats >99%District 41: Democrats >99%District 42: Democrats 22%District 43: Democrats >99%District 44: Democrats >99%District 45: Democrats 15%District 46: Democrats 1%District 47: Democrats <1%District 48: Democrats 64%District 49: Democrats <1%District 50: Democrats <1%District 51: Democrats <1%District 52: Democrats <1%District 53: Democrats <1%District 54: Democrats <1%District 55: Democrats >99%District 56: Democrats 9%123468111213151617181920212223242526293031424345464748495051525354
Safe DLean DToss upLean RSafe R

District shapes are estimated from where each district's voters live in the precinct returns, not drawn from the official boundary files.

Pick a district

Hover the map for the odds in any district. Click one to pin it here and find it in the table below.

Every seat

Average 25 D to 31 R
District 2: Democrats win >99%District 5: Democrats win >99%District 9: Democrats win >99%District 10: Democrats win >99%District 12: Democrats win >99%District 14: Democrats win >99%District 15: Democrats win >99%District 17: Democrats win >99%District 22: Democrats win >99%District 26: Democrats win >99%District 28: Democrats win >99%District 33: Democrats win >99%District 34: Democrats win >99%District 35: Democrats win >99%District 36: Democrats win >99%District 38: Democrats win >99%District 39: Democrats win >99%District 40: Democrats win >99%District 41: Democrats win >99%District 43: Democrats win >99%District 44: Democrats win >99%District 55: Democrats win >99%District 7: Democrats win >99%District 48: Democrats win 64%District 37: Democrats win 30%District 32: Democrats win 27%District 42: Democrats win 22%District 1: Democrats win 20%District 45: Democrats win 15%District 56: Democrats win 9%District 23: Democrats win 3%District 46: Democrats win 1%District 47: Democrats win <1%District 29: Democrats win <1%District 16: Democrats win <1%District 30: Democrats win <1%District 31: Democrats win <1%District 3: Democrats win <1%District 4: Democrats win <1%District 6: Democrats win <1%District 8: Democrats win <1%District 11: Democrats win <1%District 13: Democrats win <1%District 18: Democrats win <1%District 19: Democrats win <1%District 20: Democrats win <1%District 21: Democrats win <1%District 24: Democrats win <1%District 25: Democrats win <1%District 27: Democrats win <1%District 49: Democrats win <1%District 50: Democrats win <1%District 51: Democrats win <1%District 52: Democrats win <1%District 53: Democrats win <1%District 54: Democrats win <1%
Safe DLean DToss upLean RSafe R
Democratic seats across 2,000 simulations
29 for a majority2125293234

Every Senate district

DistrictLast winner2026 nominees2024 leanForecastDem winProjected D votesProjected R votesTotalRating
48Shawn Still 2024Laura Murvartian vs Shawn StillR +4.9D +2.364%43,40341,43486,129Lean D
37Ed Setzler 2024Darcy Castro vs Ed SetzlerR +8.9R +3.630%46,38049,87497,719Lean R
32Kay Kirkpatrick 2024Michael Hettig vs Kay KirkpatrickR +12.5R +4.227%42,92546,66190,950Lean R
1Ben Watson 2024Corey Foreman vs Ben WatsonR +14.0R +5.720%38,47343,14182,857Lean R
42Brian Strickland 2024Eric W. Lee Sr. vs Bret A. DunnR +11.6R +5.822%44,07549,47394,973Lean R
45Clint Dixon 2024Scott Tippetts vs Clint DixonR +15.0R +6.715%38,36143,86283,475Likely R
56John Albers 2024Patrick Thompson vs John AlbersR +12.5R +9.39%45,79455,186102,518Likely R

Projected Georgia Senate vote

56 seats on the ballot
PartyVotesShare
Democrats2,204,09049.2%
Republicans2,234,74849.8%
Independents and others45,3891.0%
Total4,484,226100%

The sum of every district on the ballot. Each district's turnout is its 2024 top of ticket vote on today's lines, scaled to the forecast's 2026 statewide vote less a small share who skip legislative races, split by the district forecast. A district with no candidate from one party gives all its votes to the other. The district table lists each seat's projected votes.

How this is built
Each district starts from its 2024 presidential vote, read off the precincts that voted in it, and moves with the state's 2026 House forecast and the national generic ballot. Half of what the last legislative winner ran ahead of the district carries over, 2026 primary turnout moves districts where it is posted, and district and statewide legislative polls count by recency and sample. A seat with no candidate from one party is called for the other. 2,000 simulations share a national, a state and a district shock. The map's district shapes are estimated from where each district's voters are in the precinct returns. All chambers.