2026 forecast · Colorado Treasurer
Jeff Bridges is all but certain to win Colorado's treasurer race.
Jeff Bridges vs Kevin Grantham, an open seat. The model has Bridges ahead by 20.8 points, with a 100 percent chance of winning.
Safe DModel D +20.8Updated October 22, 2026
Jeff Bridges
Democrat
57.7%
1,636,895 projected votes
Kevin Grantham
Republican
37.0%
1,048,124 projected votes
100%Bridges
0%Grantham
Bridges all but certainEach square is one simulated election night, Bridges wins about 100 of 100
D +40R +40Click a county to zoom · arrow keys step through counties by size
Where the margin is won
Bridges +706,693 net votes from 26 countiesStatewide D +20.8, a 588,764 vote marginGrantham +117,929 net votes from 38 counties
Projected statewide vote
2,834,656 votes| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bridges D | 1,636,895 | 57.7% |
| Kevin Grantham R | 1,048,124 | 37.0% |
| Jodie Barr, Marilee Langner Sturgis | 149,635 | 5.3% |
| Total | 2,834,656 | 100% |
Expected votes at the projected turnout for this office, which runs a little below the top of the ticket because some voters skip down ballot races.
Projected vote by county
64 counties| County | Bridges | Grantham | Other | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Statewide | 1,636,892 | 1,048,128 | 149,634 | 2,834,654 | D +20.8 |
| Denver County | 273,183 | 45,980 | 17,787 | 336,950 | D +67.4 |
| El Paso County | 155,542 | 162,284 | 17,712 | 335,538 | R +2.0 |
| Jefferson County | 202,120 | 105,471 | 17,142 | 324,733 | D +29.8 |
| Arapahoe County | 189,912 | 88,406 | 15,511 | 293,829 | D +34.5 |
| Douglas County | 95,902 | 95,000 | 10,639 | 201,541 | D +0.5 |
| Adams County | 118,488 | 71,707 | 10,600 | 200,795 | D +23.3 |
| Larimer County | 117,279 | 70,387 | 10,459 | 198,125 | D +23.7 |
| Boulder County | 142,169 | 29,344 | 9,558 | 181,071 | D +62.3 |
| Weld County | 59,752 | 84,237 | 8,025 | 152,014 | R +16.1 |
| Mesa County | 30,770 | 46,512 | 4,306 | 81,588 | R +19.3 |
| Pueblo County | 37,736 | 35,027 | 4,055 | 76,818 | D +3.5 |
| Broomfield County | 27,499 | 11,410 | 2,169 | 41,078 | D +39.2 |
| La Plata County | 19,700 | 10,793 | 1,699 | 32,192 | D +27.7 |
| Garfield County | 14,388 | 11,413 | 1,437 | 27,238 | D +10.9 |
| Eagle County | 16,558 | 7,188 | 1,323 | 25,069 | D +37.4 |
| Fremont County | 7,448 | 14,733 | 1,235 | 23,416 | R +31.1 |
| Montrose County | 7,679 | 13,982 | 1,207 | 22,868 | R +27.6 |
| Delta County | 5,673 | 10,810 | 919 | 17,402 | R +29.5 |
| Elbert County | 3,804 | 11,684 | 864 | 16,352 | R +48.2 |
| Summit County | 11,369 | 3,718 | 841 | 15,928 | D +48.0 |
| Routt County | 9,667 | 4,209 | 773 | 14,649 | D +37.3 |
| Teller County | 5,002 | 8,849 | 771 | 14,622 | R +26.3 |
| Montezuma County | 5,523 | 7,437 | 722 | 13,682 | R +14.0 |
| Chaffee County | 7,115 | 4,742 | 660 | 12,517 | D +19.0 |
| Morgan County | 3,000 | 8,277 | 629 | 11,906 | R +44.3 |
| Park County | 4,701 | 5,491 | 568 | 10,760 | R +7.3 |
| Pitkin County | 7,764 | 1,906 | 538 | 10,208 | D +57.4 |
| Gunnison County | 6,515 | 2,899 | 524 | 9,938 | D +36.4 |
| Logan County | 2,051 | 6,954 | 502 | 9,507 | R +51.6 |
| Grand County | 4,479 | 3,831 | 462 | 8,772 | D +7.4 |
| Archuleta County | 3,623 | 4,177 | 436 | 8,236 | R +6.7 |
| Otero County | 3,015 | 4,667 | 428 | 8,110 | R +20.4 |
| Las Animas County | 3,316 | 3,509 | 381 | 7,206 | R +2.7 |
| Alamosa County | 3,198 | 3,306 | 363 | 6,867 | R +1.6 |
| Moffat County | 1,148 | 4,580 | 320 | 6,048 | R +56.8 |
| Clear Creek County | 3,404 | 1,843 | 292 | 5,539 | D +28.2 |
| Rio Grande County | 2,163 | 3,066 | 291 | 5,520 | R +16.4 |
| Prowers County | 1,164 | 3,389 | 253 | 4,806 | R +46.3 |
| San Miguel County | 3,407 | 764 | 233 | 4,404 | D +60.0 |
| Yuma County | 676 | 3,369 | 226 | 4,271 | R +63.1 |
| Huerfano County | 1,883 | 1,960 | 214 | 4,057 | R +1.9 |
| Conejos County | 1,620 | 1,856 | 194 | 3,670 | R +6.4 |
| Gilpin County | 2,114 | 1,258 | 188 | 3,560 | D +24.0 |
| Ouray County | 2,150 | 1,119 | 183 | 3,452 | D +29.9 |
| Lake County | 2,100 | 1,156 | 182 | 3,438 | D +27.4 |
| Custer County | 1,004 | 2,199 | 178 | 3,381 | R +35.3 |
| Kit Carson County | 524 | 2,624 | 176 | 3,324 | R +63.2 |
| Rio Blanco County | 537 | 2,590 | 175 | 3,302 | R +62.2 |
| Saguache County | 1,726 | 1,217 | 164 | 3,107 | D +16.4 |
| Washington County | 307 | 2,126 | 135 | 2,568 | R +70.8 |
| Lincoln County | 417 | 1,899 | 128 | 2,444 | R +60.6 |
| Bent County | 657 | 1,380 | 114 | 2,151 | R +33.6 |
| Phillips County | 379 | 1,636 | 112 | 2,127 | R +59.1 |
| Baca County | 271 | 1,468 | 97 | 1,836 | R +65.2 |
| Costilla County | 1,146 | 584 | 96 | 1,826 | D +30.8 |
| Crowley County | 478 | 1,234 | 96 | 1,808 | R +41.8 |
| Dolores County | 334 | 936 | 71 | 1,341 | R +44.8 |
| Sedgwick County | 263 | 891 | 64 | 1,218 | R +51.5 |
| Cheyenne County | 98 | 805 | 51 | 954 | R +74.2 |
| Kiowa County | 83 | 650 | 41 | 774 | R +73.2 |
| Jackson County | 149 | 551 | 38 | 738 | R +54.4 |
| Hinsdale County | 235 | 270 | 28 | 533 | R +6.5 |
| Mineral County | 216 | 244 | 26 | 486 | R +5.7 |
| San Juan County | 299 | 124 | 23 | 446 | D +39.3 |
Projected 2026 votes from the On Point simulation: each county's expected turnout times its simulated vote share. Totals may differ from the race total by rounding.
Range of outcomes
80 percent of simulations80 percent of simulations fall between D +30.4 and D +11.2. The white dot is the forecast; the line is a tie.
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate and governor | D +22.6 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | D +20.8 |
| Blend of every leg | D +21.9 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | D +21.9 |
| With polls, none in the race | D +20.8 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 38%, Approval fundamentals 19%, Gallup, relaxed 13%, Down ballot history 31%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +30.4 and D +11.2.
Polls of the race
no polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Bridges | Grantham | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No public polls of this race. The forecast rests on the top of ticket, past results and the primaries. | |||||