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12 DAYS OUT
GA GovBottoms D +0.6SC SenAndrews D +1.4NE GovPillen R +1.5AK SenPeltola D +1.6IA SenTurek D +2.1ME SenJackson D +2.2TX SenTalarico D +2.4TX GovAbbott R +2.6KS GovHolscher D +2.6WI GovCrowley D +2.7KS SenHamilton D +2.8NE SenOsborn I +3.0MI SenEl-Sayed D +3.0NV GovFord D +3.3OH SenBrown D +3.7OH GovActon D +4.1
2026 ballot measure forecast

Nevada Question 6

Constitutional right to abortion until viability

Second vote to add a right to abortion until fetal viability, or after to protect patient life or health, to the Nevada Constitution. The forecast has Yes at 68.4 percent against the 50 percent it needs, a >99% chance to pass.

Very likely to passCitizen initiated constitutional amendmentAbortionUpdated October 22, 2026
Chance to pass
>99%
2,000 simulations
Forecast Yes
68.4%
80% range 62 to 75
Needs
50%
a simple majority
Polling average
72.0%
Yes, with undecided split two to one for No
Where the Yes vote lands
needs 50
2035506580
History and structure
60.4% Yes
Polls
72.0% Yes
Forecast
68.4% Yes
Yes leans
Democratic
Rule to pass
Simple majority; this is the required second approval of an initiated constitutional amendment first passed in 2024. If it fails, the amendment does not take effect. Passed with 64 percent in 2024.
The campaign

Nevadans for Reproductive Freedom support; Nevadans Right to Life oppose. No money figures found.

Also on the Nevada ballot

Question 7
Photo voter ID requirement
>99%

Question 6 by county

Churchill CountyClark CountyDouglas CountyElko CountyEsmeralda CountyEureka CountyHumboldt CountyLander CountyLincoln CountyLyon CountyMineral CountyNye CountyPershing CountyStorey CountyWashoe CountyWhite Pine CountyCarson CityClarkWashoeDouglasLyonCarsonNyeElkoChurchillHumboldtWhite PineStoreyLander
No +30Yes +30Click a county to zoom · arrow keys step through counties by size
Where the margin is won
Clark County: Yes +329,562Washoe County: Yes +83,978Carson City: Yes +7,976Douglas County: Yes +4,409Nye County: Yes +1,636Lyon County: Yes +1,329Storey County: Yes +254Mineral County: Yes +247Elko County: No +1,365Lincoln County: No +608Humboldt County: No +391Lander County: No +328Eureka County: No +295White Pine County: No +295Pershing County: No +114Churchill County: No +100Esmeralda County: No +79
Yes +429,391 net votes from 8 countiesStatewide Yes +36.7, a 425,816 vote marginNo +3,575 net votes from 9 counties

Projected vote

1,158,862 votes on the question
ChoiceVotesShare
Yes792,33968.4%
No366,52331.6%
Total1,158,862100%
CountyYesNoTotalYes share
Clark County563,984234,422798,40670.6%
Washoe County146,31662,338208,65470.1%
Douglas County16,37711,96828,34557.8%
Lyon County13,64412,31525,95952.6%
Carson City16,4498,47324,92266.0%
Nye County11,85910,22322,08253.7%
Elko County8,2719,63617,90746.2%
Churchill County5,2925,39210,68449.5%
Humboldt County3,0443,4356,47947.0%
White Pine County1,6391,9343,57345.9%
Storey County1,3241,0702,39455.3%
Lander County9581,2862,24442.7%
Lincoln County7561,3642,12035.7%
Pershing County9481,0622,01047.2%
Mineral County1,0708231,89356.5%
Eureka County24453978331.2%
Esmeralda County16424340740.3%

Projected 2026 votes: each county's expected turnout, less the roughly 6 percent of voters who skip a ballot question, times its forecast Yes share. The measure needs 50.0 percent Yes to pass.

Polls of the measure

1 poll
PollsterSampleEndedYesNoUndecidedYes, adjusted
Noble Predictive Insights708 LV2026-09-26692272.0%
How this is built
Question 6 is forecast as a abortion measure whose Yes vote leans Democratic. Comparable measures from 2018 to 2024 set how far its Yes share moves with Nevada's partisanship and with each county's 2024 presidential vote, and how it reached the ballot moves it further. Polls then pull the forecast toward them by recency and size, after splitting undecided voters two to one for No. Sources: news3lv.com, ktnv.com. All measures.