Delaware House forecast
Democrats win control of the Delaware House in nearly every one of 2,000 simulations, against a Democratic majority today. All 41 seats are on the 2026 ballot; 2 races are within a 35 to 65 split.
Delaware House map
District shapes are estimated from where each district's voters live in the precinct returns, not drawn from the official boundary files.
Hover the map for the odds in any district. Click one to pin it here and find it in the table below.
Every seat
Average 31 D to 10 REvery House district
| District | Last winner | 2026 nominees | 2024 lean | Forecast | Dem win | Projected D votes | Projected R votes | Total | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | Ronald E Gray 2024 | Maureen Madden vs Carlie Carey | R +11.9 | R +0.2 | 48% | 8,173 | 8,210 | 16,633 | Toss up |
| 4 | Jeff Hilovsky 2024 | Gregg Lindner vs Dan Zitofsky | R +6.8 | D +0.3 | 53% | 7,210 | 7,167 | 14,596 | Toss up |
| 33 | Charles S Postles Jr 2024 | Joshua Pennington vs Morgan Hudson | R +14.3 | R +2.7 | 33% | 4,688 | 4,945 | 9,780 | Lean R |
| 36 | Bryan William Shupe 2024 | Andrew Gorlich vs Bryan William Shupe | R +12.3 | R +7.6 | 14% | 4,528 | 5,271 | 9,949 | Likely R |
| 34 | Lyndon D Yearick 2024 | Annie Norman vs Lyndon D. Yearick | D +4.4 | D +8.6 | 90% | 5,542 | 4,665 | 10,362 | Likely D |
Projected Delaware House vote
41 seats on the ballot| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Democrats | 258,153 | 64.3% |
| Republicans | 139,328 | 34.7% |
| Independents and others | 3,722 | 0.9% |
| Total | 401,205 | 100% |
The sum of every district on the ballot. Each district's turnout is its 2024 top of ticket vote on today's lines, scaled to the forecast's 2026 statewide vote less a small share who skip legislative races, split by the district forecast. A district with no candidate from one party gives all its votes to the other. The district table lists each seat's projected votes.