November 3, 2026
Ballot measures map
All 146 statewide ballot questions in 39 states and the District of Columbia, with the projected Yes and No vote in every county, the chance each one passes and the polls behind the forecast.
Pick a state
146 measures in 39 statesMost favored to failMost favored to pass
CA Proposition 1
Full forecastAffordable housing and veterans housing bond
59.2% YesLikely to pass, 93% chance
Needs 50.0% to pass. 80 percent range 52 to 67 percent Yes.
Projected Yes7,506,760
Projected No5,180,419
Every measure, projected vote
146 measures| State | Measure | Yes votes | No votes | Yes | Needs | Chance to pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | Ballot Measure 2: Repeal open primaries and ranked choice voting | 135,563 | 137,048 | 47.6% | 50% | 31% |
| Alaska | Ballot Measure 3: Only U.S. citizens may vote | 215,805 | 56,806 | 78.1% | 50% | 100% |
| Alabama | Statewide Amendment 1: Lieutenant governor vacancies and legislative officer pay | 1,112,890 | 500,057 | 69.0% | 50% | 97% |
| Alabama | Statewide Amendment 2: Process for merging county school systems | 969,033 | 643,920 | 60.1% | 50% | 84% |
| Alabama | Statewide Amendment 3: Daily Pledge and student led prayer in schools | 1,071,493 | 541,454 | 66.4% | 50% | 95% |
| Alabama | Statewide Amendment 4: Weekly national anthem in public schools | 1,071,493 | 541,454 | 66.4% | 50% | 96% |
| Arkansas | Issue 1: Only U.S. citizens may vote | 694,316 | 230,010 | 75.1% | 50% | 100% |
| Arkansas | Issue 2: Right to bear arms shall not be infringed | 669,333 | 254,997 | 72.4% | 50% | 100% |
| Arkansas | Issue 3: Economic development districts and public loans | 426,048 | 498,281 | 46.1% | 50% | 23% |
| Arkansas | Issue 4: $500 million water infrastructure bonds | 639,538 | 284,798 | 69.2% | 50% | 100% |
| Arizona | Proposition 141: Ban vehicle miles traveled taxes | 1,799,794 | 1,194,909 | 60.1% | 50% | 84% |
| Arizona | Proposition 142: Ban race based preferences and DEI mandates | 1,672,755 | 1,321,951 | 55.9% | 50% | 72% |
| Arizona | Proposition 144: Voter ID for all voters including mail | 2,178,263 | 816,444 | 72.7% | 50% | 99% |
| Arizona | Proposition 316: Cap local grocery taxes at 2 percent | 1,799,794 | 1,194,909 | 60.1% | 50% | 83% |
| Arizona | Proposition 317: Designate drug cartels as terrorist organizations | 2,197,310 | 797,394 | 73.4% | 50% | 99% |
| Arizona | Proposition 318: Sex based school sports, restrooms, locker rooms | 1,983,182 | 1,011,524 | 66.2% | 50% | 95% |
| Arizona | Proposition 319: Restrict photo radar traffic enforcement | 1,846,977 | 1,147,729 | 61.7% | 50% | 88% |
| Arizona | Proposition 320: Require 60 percent spending on instruction | 1,760,780 | 1,233,922 | 58.8% | 50% | 81% |
| California | Proposition 1: Affordable housing and veterans housing bond | 7,506,760 | 5,180,419 | 59.2% | 50% | 93% |
| California | Proposition 2: Raise rainy day fund cap to 20 percent | 8,007,349 | 4,679,830 | 63.1% | 50% | 99% |
| California | Proposition 3: Make top income tax rates permanent | 7,247,725 | 5,439,451 | 57.1% | 50% | 92% |
| California | Proposition 4: Allow public financing of campaigns | 6,589,556 | 6,097,620 | 51.9% | 50% | 62% |
| California | Proposition 5: Recall: remove successor election | 6,201,927 | 6,485,252 | 48.9% | 50% | 43% |
| California | Proposition 37: Loans for middle income buyers of new homes | 7,558,277 | 5,128,899 | 59.6% | 50% | 94% |
| California | Proposition 38: Immunology research bonds | 7,339,376 | 5,347,801 | 57.8% | 50% | 90% |
| California | Proposition 39: Voter ID and citizenship verification | 5,937,921 | 6,749,251 | 46.8% | 50% | 24% |
| California | Proposition 40: One time 5 percent billionaire wealth tax | 6,315,743 | 6,371,434 | 49.8% | 50% | 50% |
| California | Proposition 41: Audits of new special taxes, Gann limit rule | 6,032,821 | 6,654,358 | 47.6% | 50% | 31% |
| California | Proposition 42: Ban new state wealth and personal property taxes | 6,594,291 | 6,092,880 | 52.0% | 50% | 66% |
| California | Proposition 43: Two thirds vote for local special taxes | 5,294,353 | 7,392,817 | 41.7% | 50% | 4% |
| California | Proposition 44: Community clinics must spend 90 percent on services | 5,244,202 | 7,442,975 | 41.3% | 50% | 8% |
| California | Proposition 45: Fast track CEQA review for essential projects | 6,619,035 | 6,068,141 | 52.2% | 50% | 63% |
| Colorado | Proposition NN: Raise TABOR cap for K-12 school funding | 1,785,418 | 876,544 | 67.1% | 50% | 95% |
| Colorado | Amendment 81: Police must report undocumented violent offenders to DHS | 1,379,721 | 1,282,246 | 51.8% | 55% | 37% |
| Colorado | Amendment 82: Constitutional right to natural gas | 1,218,727 | 1,443,231 | 45.8% | 55% | 18% |
| Colorado | Amendment 83: Constitutional right to hunt and fish | 1,654,611 | 1,007,353 | 62.2% | 55% | 76% |
| Colorado | Amendment 84: ID number required on mail ballots | 1,576,538 | 1,085,425 | 59.2% | 55% | 66% |
| Colorado | Amendment 85: Plain language ballot questions | 1,145,433 | 1,516,524 | 43.0% | 55% | 13% |
| Colorado | Amendment 86: Limits on mid decade congressional redistricting | 1,031,709 | 1,630,250 | 38.8% | 55% | 6% |
| Colorado | Amendment 87: Graduated income tax for schools and health | 1,330,889 | 1,331,075 | 50.0% | 55% | 33% |
| Colorado | Proposition 132: Tougher fentanyl penalties | 1,704,671 | 957,290 | 64.0% | 50% | 91% |
| Colorado | Proposition 133: Life without parole for child sex trafficking | 1,704,671 | 957,290 | 64.0% | 50% | 91% |
| Colorado | Proposition 134: School sports teams by biological sex | 1,387,395 | 1,274,566 | 52.1% | 50% | 58% |
| Colorado | Proposition 135: Ban gender transition surgeries for minors | 1,387,395 | 1,274,566 | 52.1% | 50% | 57% |
| Colorado | Proposition 136: Cap income tax rate at 4.4 percent | 1,331,075 | 1,330,889 | 50.0% | 50% | 51% |
| Colorado | Proposition 137: Sporting goods sales tax for conservation | 1,463,639 | 1,198,322 | 55.0% | 50% | 69% |
| District of Columbia | Initiative 86: Ban sale of force-fed foie gras | 127,678 | 94,586 | 57.4% | 50% | 77% |
| Florida | Amendment 1: Bigger rainy day fund with required deposits | 5,471,035 | 2,923,973 | 65.2% | 60% | 70% |
| Florida | Amendment 2: Property tax exemption for farm equipment | 5,515,607 | 2,879,402 | 65.7% | 60% | 73% |
| Florida | Amendment 3: Large homestead property tax cut toward elimination | 5,154,959 | 3,240,046 | 61.4% | 60% | 62% |
| Georgia | Amendment 1: Raise conservation use acreage cap to 4,000 | 2,883,310 | 1,505,217 | 65.7% | 50% | 95% |
| Georgia | Amendment 2: Nonpartisan elections for all probate judges | 2,627,353 | 1,761,165 | 59.9% | 50% | 83% |
| Georgia | Amendment 3: Dedicated Next Generation 911 fund | 2,782,922 | 1,605,610 | 63.4% | 50% | 91% |
| Hawaii | Question 1: More Senate time on judicial appointments | 272,893 | 157,445 | 63.4% | 53% | 84% |
| Hawaii | Question 2: County tax increment bonds for infrastructure | 294,425 | 135,914 | 68.4% | 53% | 93% |
| Iowa | Amendment 1: Two-thirds legislative vote to raise income taxes | 669,086 | 619,766 | 51.9% | 50% | 64% |
| Idaho | Advisory Question: Advisory vote on official state gun | 341,094 | 341,094 | 50.0% | 50% | 49% |
| Idaho | HJR 4: Only Legislature may legalize marijuana and drugs | 417,474 | 264,715 | 61.2% | 50% | 86% |
| Idaho | HJR 6: English as official state language | 454,346 | 227,840 | 66.6% | 50% | 95% |
| Idaho | Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act: Restore abortion access before viability | 287,964 | 394,223 | 42.2% | 50% | 23% |
| Indiana | Public Question #1: Allow judges to deny bail to dangerous defendants | 1,323,561 | 413,846 | 76.2% | 50% | 100% |
| Indiana | Public Question #2: Let city or town judges live in adjacent county | 1,101,753 | 635,652 | 63.4% | 50% | 91% |
| Kansas | Constitutional Amendment No. 1: Only U.S. citizens may vote | 891,511 | 185,359 | 82.8% | 50% | 100% |
| Kentucky | Constitutional Amendment 1: Limit governor pardons near gubernatorial election | 1,075,327 | 483,172 | 69.0% | 50% | 97% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 1: Surviving spouse can transfer disabled veteran exemption | 939,850 | 490,642 | 65.7% | 50% | 94% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 2: Keep right to restore prior maximum millage | 939,850 | 490,642 | 65.7% | 50% | 94% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 3: No post conviction bail for crimes against minors | 1,098,012 | 332,484 | 76.8% | 50% | 100% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 4: Lifetime two term limit for governor | 987,007 | 443,492 | 69.0% | 50% | 97% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 5: Flexibility in paying retirement system debt | 921,556 | 508,937 | 64.4% | 50% | 92% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 6: Extra local property tax exemption for seniors | 939,850 | 490,642 | 65.7% | 50% | 94% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 7: Public funds for private drinking water lines | 890,425 | 540,069 | 62.2% | 50% | 88% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 8: Bar foreign adversaries from expropriating property | 922,439 | 508,055 | 64.5% | 50% | 91% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 9: Raise income limit for assessment freeze to $150,000 | 939,850 | 490,642 | 65.7% | 50% | 93% |
| Louisiana | Amendment 10: Tax exemption for rehabilitated blighted property | 939,850 | 490,642 | 65.7% | 50% | 93% |
| Massachusetts | Question 1: Apply public records law to Legislature and governor | 2,039,812 | 647,932 | 75.9% | 50% | 100% |
| Massachusetts | Question 2: Collective bargaining for public defender agency staff | 1,704,640 | 983,104 | 63.4% | 50% | 100% |
| Massachusetts | Question 3: Single all-party primary, top two advance | 1,375,560 | 1,312,185 | 51.2% | 50% | 60% |
| Massachusetts | Question 4: Election Day voter registration | 1,718,400 | 969,348 | 63.9% | 50% | 100% |
| Massachusetts | Question 5: Change state revenue cap and rebate excess | 1,516,717 | 1,171,029 | 56.4% | 50% | 92% |
| Massachusetts | Question 6: Create Nature for All conservation fund | 1,777,478 | 910,264 | 66.1% | 50% | 100% |
| Massachusetts | Question 7: Allow single-family homes on smaller lots | 1,623,312 | 1,064,434 | 60.4% | 50% | 99% |
| Massachusetts | Question 8: Repeal recreational marijuana sales | 763,145 | 1,924,600 | 28.4% | 50% | 0% |
| Massachusetts | Question 9: Keep or repeal 2024 gun law | 1,827,152 | 860,590 | 68.0% | 50% | 100% |
| Maryland | Question 1: Require budget to fund state worker contracts | 1,777,478 | 576,950 | 75.5% | 50% | 99% |
| Maryland | Question 2: Temporary appointments to judicial disabilities commission | 1,493,024 | 861,401 | 63.4% | 50% | 91% |
| Maryland | Question 3: Remove constitutional limits on congressional districting | 1,063,225 | 1,291,202 | 45.2% | 50% | 19% |
| Michigan | Proposal 1: Call a state constitutional convention | 2,617,891 | 2,040,335 | 56.2% | 50% | 81% |
| Michigan | Proposal 2: Ban political donations from utilities and big contractors | 3,311,308 | 1,346,919 | 71.1% | 50% | 100% |
| Minnesota | Constitutional Amendment 1: Permanent School Fund payouts to school districts | 1,712,614 | 919,137 | 65.1% | 53% | 88% |
| Missouri | Amendment 3: Repeal 2024 abortion rights amendment, restrict abortion | 897,595 | 886,347 | 48.5% | 50% | 42% |
| Missouri | Amendment 6: Protect citizen initiatives from legislative repeal | 954,373 | 829,562 | 54.8% | 50% | 76% |
| Missouri | Amendment 7: Create Show-Me Prosperity Fund to replace state taxes | 1,209,584 | 574,353 | 66.7% | 50% | 94% |
| Missouri | Amendment 8: Constitutionally require elected county sheriffs | 1,370,081 | 413,853 | 75.9% | 50% | 100% |
| Missouri | Proposition A: Keep 2025 Republican-drawn congressional map | 908,218 | 875,715 | 49.0% | 50% | 44% |
| Montana | CI-132: Keep judicial elections nonpartisan | 274,165 | 257,236 | 51.6% | 50% | 60% |
| Montana | CI-133: Protect initiative and referendum rights | 262,706 | 268,698 | 49.4% | 50% | 48% |
| Montana | I-194: Bar corporate political spending via charter limits | 324,415 | 206,987 | 61.0% | 50% | 86% |
| North Carolina | Photo ID Amendment: Photo ID for all voters including mail | 2,900,914 | 1,258,573 | 69.7% | 50% | 100% |
| North Carolina | Income Tax Cap Amendment: Cap state income tax rate at 3.5% | 2,817,878 | 1,341,606 | 67.7% | 50% | 100% |
| North Carolina | Property Tax Limit Amendment: Require limits on local property tax increases | 3,028,449 | 1,131,040 | 72.8% | 50% | 100% |
| North Dakota | Constitutional Measure No. 1: Require 60% voter approval for constitutional amendments | 110,330 | 98,711 | 52.8% | 50% | 61% |
| North Dakota | Initiated Constitutional Measure No. 2: Free breakfast and lunch for all public school students | 95,696 | 113,347 | 45.8% | 50% | 37% |
| Nebraska | Constitutional Amendment 1: Allow three consecutive legislative terms | 501,577 | 225,375 | 69.0% | 50% | 97% |
| Nebraska | Initiative Measure 440: Legalize online sports betting through racetracks | 309,354 | 417,591 | 42.6% | 50% | 22% |
| Nebraska | Initiative Measure 441: Regulate online sports betting | 318,275 | 408,672 | 43.8% | 50% | 28% |
| Nebraska | Initiative Measure 442: Sex-separate school and college sports teams | 476,128 | 250,815 | 65.5% | 50% | 94% |
| New Hampshire | Question 1: Eliminate elected register of probate office | 410,817 | 237,020 | 63.4% | 67% | 36% |
| New Mexico | Constitutional Amendment 1: End pocket veto, require veto explanations | 530,890 | 238,547 | 69.0% | 50% | 97% |
| New Mexico | Constitutional Amendment 2: Allow school elections with partisan elections | 460,650 | 308,783 | 59.9% | 50% | 84% |
| New Mexico | Constitutional Amendment 3: Nominating committee for university regents | 501,507 | 267,929 | 65.2% | 50% | 94% |
| New Mexico | Constitutional Amendment 4: Tie legislator pay to median income | 530,890 | 238,547 | 69.0% | 50% | 97% |
| New Mexico | Bond Question 1: Senior citizen facilities bond | 505,344 | 264,094 | 65.7% | 50% | 95% |
| New Mexico | Bond Question 2: Library acquisitions bond | 505,344 | 264,094 | 65.7% | 50% | 94% |
| New Mexico | Bond Question 3: Higher education and tribal schools bond | 505,344 | 264,094 | 65.7% | 50% | 93% |
| Nevada | Question 6: Constitutional right to abortion until viability | 792,339 | 366,523 | 68.4% | 50% | 100% |
| Nevada | Question 7: Photo voter ID requirement | 785,869 | 372,993 | 67.8% | 50% | 100% |
| Ohio | Issue 3: Put photo voter ID in Ohio Constitution | 3,038,588 | 1,440,086 | 67.8% | 50% | 100% |
| Oklahoma | State Question 845: Restructure Judicial Nominating Commission | 968,066 | 263,018 | 78.6% | 50% | 100% |
| Oklahoma | State Question 847: Lower annual caps on taxable property value growth | 893,897 | 337,193 | 72.6% | 50% | 99% |
| Rhode Island | Question 1: $275M higher education facilities bond | 265,157 | 135,294 | 66.3% | 50% | 94% |
| Rhode Island | Question 2: $120M housing and homeownership bond | 265,157 | 135,294 | 66.3% | 50% | 95% |
| Rhode Island | Question 3: $100M economic development bond | 265,157 | 135,294 | 66.3% | 50% | 95% |
| Rhode Island | Question 4: $50M cultural economy bond | 265,157 | 135,294 | 66.3% | 50% | 94% |
| Rhode Island | Question 5: $55M green economy bond | 265,157 | 135,294 | 66.3% | 50% | 95% |
| South Dakota | Constitutional Amendment I: Tie Medicaid expansion to federal funding level | 217,646 | 143,055 | 60.4% | 50% | 85% |
| South Dakota | Constitutional Amendment J: Only U.S. citizens may vote | 306,263 | 54,432 | 84.9% | 50% | 100% |
| South Dakota | Constitutional Amendment K: Create trust for unclaimed property fund | 230,416 | 130,285 | 63.9% | 50% | 91% |
| South Dakota | Constitutional Amendment L: Require 60% to pass constitutional amendments | 185,351 | 175,346 | 51.4% | 50% | 56% |
| Tennessee | Amendment 1: Remove right to bail for specified serious offenses | 1,700,356 | 476,177 | 78.1% | 53% | 100% |
| Tennessee | Amendment 2: Ban a state property tax | 1,568,676 | 607,860 | 72.1% | 53% | 98% |
| Tennessee | Amendment 3: Marsy's Law crime victims' rights | 1,501,757 | 674,781 | 69.0% | 53% | 95% |
| Utah | Amendment A: Flexible publication of proposed amendments | 601,209 | 346,867 | 63.4% | 50% | 91% |
| Utah | Amendment B: 60 percent vote for tax raising initiatives | 531,580 | 416,498 | 56.1% | 50% | 82% |
| Virginia | Question 1: Right to reproductive freedom including abortion | 2,477,306 | 1,009,603 | 71.0% | 50% | 99% |
| Virginia | Question 2: Repeal same sex marriage ban | 2,416,105 | 1,070,811 | 69.3% | 50% | 97% |
| Virginia | Question 3: Automatic voting rights restoration after prison | 2,303,926 | 1,182,990 | 66.1% | 50% | 95% |
| Vermont | Proposal 3: Constitutional right to collective bargaining | 221,175 | 88,292 | 71.5% | 50% | 100% |
| Vermont | Proposal 4: Constitutional equal protection guarantee | 230,920 | 78,548 | 74.6% | 50% | 100% |
| Washington | Initiative Measure No. IL26-638: Girls' sports limited to biological females | 1,411,449 | 1,213,593 | 53.8% | 50% | 71% |
| Washington | Initiative Measure No. IL26-001: Parents' Bill of Rights reinstatement | 1,183,008 | 1,442,036 | 45.1% | 50% | 30% |
| Washington | Initiative Measure No. IP26-645: Repeal millionaires income tax, ban income taxes | 1,132,822 | 1,492,220 | 43.2% | 50% | 11% |
| Wisconsin | Question 1: Bar partial veto to raise taxes or fees | 1,693,884 | 1,131,761 | 59.9% | 50% | 85% |
| Wisconsin | Question 2: Bar closing places of worship during emergencies | 1,571,236 | 1,254,413 | 55.6% | 50% | 73% |
| Wisconsin | Question 3: Ban government discrimination or preferences by race or sex | 1,571,236 | 1,254,413 | 55.6% | 50% | 71% |
| West Virginia | Amendment 1: Only U.S. citizens may vote | 496,872 | 75,429 | 86.8% | 50% | 100% |
| Wyoming | Proposed Initiative Proposition Number One: 50 percent homestead property tax exemption | 140,083 | 63,925 | 68.7% | 53% | 94% |
Projected votes are each county's expected 2026 turnout, less the share of voters who skip a ballot question, times its forecast Yes share. A measure that needs a supermajority or a share of all ballots cast is judged against that bar.