{"updated":"2026-11-03","measures":[["ID","Advisory Question","Advisory vote on official state gun",50.0,0.49,0.5,"/forecast/measures/id/advisory-question"],["IA","Amendment 1","Two-thirds legislative vote to raise income taxes",52.5,0.669,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ia/amendment-1"],["IN","Public Question #1","Allow judges to deny bail to dangerous defendants",76.0,0.9945,0.5,"/forecast/measures/in/public-question-1"],["IN","Public Question #2","Let city or town judges live in adjacent county",63.4,0.908,0.5,"/forecast/measures/in/public-question-2"],["KS","Constitutional Amendment No. 1","Only U.S. citizens may vote",82.7,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ks/constitutional-amendment-no-1"],["MI","Proposal 1","Call a state constitutional convention",47.8,0.324,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mi/proposal-1"],["MI","Proposal 2","Ban political donations from utilities and big contractors",74.6,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mi/proposal-2"],["MN","Constitutional Amendment 1","Permanent School Fund payouts to school districts",65.0,0.8785,0.5319,"/forecast/measures/mn/constitutional-amendment-1"],["MO","Amendment 3","Repeal 2024 abortion rights amendment, restrict abortion",48.2,0.366,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mo/amendment-3"],["MO","Amendment 6","Protect citizen initiatives from legislative repeal",54.6,0.803,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mo/amendment-6"],["MO","Amendment 7","Create Show-Me Prosperity Fund to replace state taxes",66.6,0.9385,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mo/amendment-7"],["MO","Amendment 8","Constitutionally require elected county sheriffs",75.9,0.9975,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mo/amendment-8"],["MO","Proposition A","Keep 2025 Republican-drawn congressional map",49.3,0.4645,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mo/proposition-a"],["NE","Constitutional Amendment 1","Allow three consecutive legislative terms",69.0,0.9695,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ne/constitutional-amendment-1"],["NE","Initiative Measure 440","Legalize online sports betting through racetracks",42.6,0.2165,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ne/initiative-measure-440"],["NE","Initiative Measure 441","Regulate online sports betting",43.8,0.275,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ne/initiative-measure-441"],["NE","Initiative Measure 442","Sex-separate school and college sports teams",65.2,0.9325,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ne/initiative-measure-442"],["ND","Constitutional Measure No. 1","Require 60% voter approval for constitutional amendments",52.7,0.609,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nd/constitutional-measure-no-1"],["ND","Initiated Constitutional Measure No. 2","Free breakfast and lunch for all public school students",45.9,0.3705,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nd/initiated-constitutional-measure-no-2"],["OH","Issue 3","Put photo voter ID in Ohio Constitution",69.5,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/oh/issue-3"],["SD","Constitutional Amendment I","Tie Medicaid expansion to federal funding level",39.3,0.028,0.5,"/forecast/measures/sd/constitutional-amendment-i"],["SD","Constitutional Amendment J","Only U.S. citizens may vote",71.8,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/sd/constitutional-amendment-j"],["SD","Constitutional Amendment K","Create trust for unclaimed property fund",54.6,0.792,0.5,"/forecast/measures/sd/constitutional-amendment-k"],["SD","Constitutional Amendment L","Require 60% to pass constitutional amendments",37.7,0.016,0.5,"/forecast/measures/sd/constitutional-amendment-l"],["WI","Question 1","Bar partial veto to raise taxes or fees",60.1,0.8555,0.5,"/forecast/measures/wi/question-1"],["WI","Question 2","Bar closing places of worship during emergencies",55.8,0.7315,0.5,"/forecast/measures/wi/question-2"],["WI","Question 3","Ban government discrimination or preferences by race or sex",55.8,0.7135,0.5,"/forecast/measures/wi/question-3"],["MA","Question 1","Apply public records law to Legislature and governor",75.7,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ma/question-1"],["MA","Question 2","Collective bargaining for public defender agency staff",63.6,0.9985,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ma/question-2"],["MA","Question 3","Single all-party primary, top two advance",51.2,0.602,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ma/question-3"],["MA","Question 4","Election Day voter registration",64.0,0.9995,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ma/question-4"],["MA","Question 5","Change state revenue cap and rebate excess",56.2,0.8945,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ma/question-5"],["MA","Question 6","Create Nature for All conservation fund",66.1,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ma/question-6"],["MA","Question 7","Allow single-family homes on smaller lots",60.3,0.991,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ma/question-7"],["MA","Question 8","Repeal recreational marijuana sales",28.4,0.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ma/question-8"],["MA","Question 9","Keep or repeal 2024 gun law",68.1,0.9995,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ma/question-9"],["MD","Question 1","Require budget to fund state worker contracts",75.4,0.9945,0.5,"/forecast/measures/md/question-1"],["MD","Question 2","Temporary appointments to judicial disabilities commission",63.4,0.9105,0.5,"/forecast/measures/md/question-2"],["MD","Question 3","Remove constitutional limits on congressional districting",46.0,0.242,0.5,"/forecast/measures/md/question-3"],["NH","Question 1","Eliminate elected register of probate office",63.4,0.362,0.6667,"/forecast/measures/nh/question-1"],["VT","Proposal 3","Constitutional right to collective bargaining",71.8,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/vt/proposal-3"],["VT","Proposal 4","Constitutional equal protection guarantee",74.9,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/vt/proposal-4"],["RI","Question 1","$275M higher education facilities bond",66.3,0.937,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ri/question-1"],["RI","Question 2","$120M housing and homeownership bond",66.3,0.948,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ri/question-2"],["RI","Question 3","$100M economic development bond",66.3,0.9505,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ri/question-3"],["RI","Question 4","$50M cultural economy bond",66.3,0.94,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ri/question-4"],["RI","Question 5","$55M green economy bond",66.3,0.9495,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ri/question-5"],["DC","Initiative 86","Ban sale of force-fed foie gras",57.4,0.7665,0.5,"/forecast/measures/dc/initiative-86"],["AL","Statewide Amendment 1","Lieutenant governor vacancies and legislative officer pay",69.0,0.972,0.5,"/forecast/measures/al/statewide-amendment-1"],["AL","Statewide Amendment 2","Process for merging county school systems",60.4,0.848,0.5,"/forecast/measures/al/statewide-amendment-2"],["AL","Statewide Amendment 3","Daily Pledge and student led prayer in schools",65.8,0.9405,0.5,"/forecast/measures/al/statewide-amendment-3"],["AL","Statewide Amendment 4","Weekly national anthem in public schools",65.8,0.9435,0.5,"/forecast/measures/al/statewide-amendment-4"],["AR","Issue 1","Only U.S. citizens may vote",76.1,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ar/issue-1"],["AR","Issue 2","Right to bear arms shall not be infringed",72.5,0.9995,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ar/issue-2"],["AR","Issue 3","Economic development districts and public loans",46.6,0.264,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ar/issue-3"],["AR","Issue 4","$500 million water infrastructure bonds",68.7,0.9965,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ar/issue-4"],["FL","Amendment 1","Bigger rainy day fund with required deposits",65.2,0.6975,0.6,"/forecast/measures/fl/amendment-1"],["FL","Amendment 2","Property tax exemption for farm equipment",65.7,0.727,0.6,"/forecast/measures/fl/amendment-2"],["FL","Amendment 3","Large homestead property tax cut toward elimination",60.1,0.4825,0.6,"/forecast/measures/fl/amendment-3"],["GA","Amendment 1","Raise conservation use acreage cap to 4,000",65.7,0.945,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ga/amendment-1"],["GA","Amendment 2","Nonpartisan elections for all probate judges",59.9,0.8285,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ga/amendment-2"],["GA","Amendment 3","Dedicated Next Generation 911 fund",63.4,0.907,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ga/amendment-3"],["KY","Constitutional Amendment 1","Limit governor pardons near gubernatorial election",69.0,0.973,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ky/constitutional-amendment-1"],["LA","Amendment 1","Surviving spouse can transfer disabled veteran exemption",65.7,0.939,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-1"],["LA","Amendment 2","Keep right to restore prior maximum millage",65.7,0.938,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-2"],["LA","Amendment 3","No post conviction bail for crimes against minors",76.7,0.998,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-3"],["LA","Amendment 4","Lifetime two term limit for governor",69.0,0.968,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-4"],["LA","Amendment 5","Flexibility in paying retirement system debt",64.4,0.923,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-5"],["LA","Amendment 6","Extra local property tax exemption for seniors",65.7,0.9405,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-6"],["LA","Amendment 7","Public funds for private drinking water lines",62.2,0.8845,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-7"],["LA","Amendment 8","Bar foreign adversaries from expropriating property",64.4,0.914,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-8"],["LA","Amendment 9","Raise income limit for assessment freeze to $150,000",65.7,0.9295,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-9"],["LA","Amendment 10","Tax exemption for rehabilitated blighted property",65.7,0.9295,0.5,"/forecast/measures/la/amendment-10"],["NC","Photo ID Amendment","Photo ID for all voters including mail",68.3,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nc/photo-id-amendment"],["NC","Income Tax Cap Amendment","Cap state income tax rate at 3.5%",66.9,0.9995,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nc/income-tax-cap-amendment"],["NC","Property Tax Limit Amendment","Require limits on local property tax increases",67.1,0.999,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nc/property-tax-limit-amendment"],["OK","State Question 845","Restructure Judicial Nominating Commission",78.4,0.9995,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ok/state-question-845"],["OK","State Question 847","Lower annual caps on taxable property value growth",72.4,0.991,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ok/state-question-847"],["TN","Amendment 1","Remove right to bail for specified serious offenses",77.6,0.9955,0.5319,"/forecast/measures/tn/amendment-1"],["TN","Amendment 2","Ban a state property tax",71.6,0.9745,0.5319,"/forecast/measures/tn/amendment-2"],["TN","Amendment 3","Marsy's Law crime victims' rights",69.0,0.946,0.5319,"/forecast/measures/tn/amendment-3"],["VA","Question 1","Right to reproductive freedom including abortion",71.0,0.9865,0.5,"/forecast/measures/va/question-1"],["VA","Question 2","Repeal same sex marriage ban",69.2,0.973,0.5,"/forecast/measures/va/question-2"],["VA","Question 3","Automatic voting rights restoration after prison",66.0,0.9485,0.5,"/forecast/measures/va/question-3"],["WV","Amendment 1","Only U.S. citizens may vote",86.3,1.0,0.5,"/forecast/measures/wv/amendment-1"],["CA","Proposition 1","Affordable housing and veterans housing bond",60.5,0.985,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-1"],["CA","Proposition 2","Raise rainy day fund cap to 20 percent",62.7,0.9935,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-2"],["CA","Proposition 3","Make top income tax rates permanent",57.1,0.9525,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-3"],["CA","Proposition 4","Allow public financing of campaigns",51.2,0.573,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-4"],["CA","Proposition 5","Recall: remove successor election",49.6,0.4605,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-5"],["CA","Proposition 37","Loans for middle income buyers of new homes",62.3,0.9965,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-37"],["CA","Proposition 38","Immunology research bonds",58.1,0.947,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-38"],["CA","Proposition 39","Voter ID and citizenship verification",44.6,0.1125,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-39"],["CA","Proposition 40","One time 5 percent billionaire wealth tax",48.7,0.401,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-40"],["CA","Proposition 41","Audits of new special taxes, Gann limit rule",46.4,0.2045,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-41"],["CA","Proposition 42","Ban new state wealth and personal property taxes",50.7,0.57,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-42"],["CA","Proposition 43","Two thirds vote for local special taxes",42.0,0.03,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-43"],["CA","Proposition 44","Community clinics must spend 90 percent on services",33.9,0.0005,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-44"],["CA","Proposition 45","Fast track CEQA review for essential projects",49.9,0.4775,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ca/proposition-45"],["AZ","Proposition 141","Ban vehicle miles traveled taxes",60.2,0.8385,0.5,"/forecast/measures/az/proposition-141"],["AZ","Proposition 142","Ban race based preferences and DEI mandates",56.0,0.7255,0.5,"/forecast/measures/az/proposition-142"],["AZ","Proposition 144","Voter ID for all voters including mail",72.9,0.992,0.5,"/forecast/measures/az/proposition-144"],["AZ","Proposition 316","Cap local grocery taxes at 2 percent",60.2,0.8355,0.5,"/forecast/measures/az/proposition-316"],["AZ","Proposition 317","Designate drug cartels as terrorist organizations",73.4,0.9915,0.5,"/forecast/measures/az/proposition-317"],["AZ","Proposition 318","Sex based school sports, restrooms, locker rooms",66.4,0.95,0.5,"/forecast/measures/az/proposition-318"],["AZ","Proposition 319","Restrict photo radar traffic enforcement",61.7,0.8805,0.5,"/forecast/measures/az/proposition-319"],["AZ","Proposition 320","Require 60 percent spending on instruction",58.9,0.815,0.5,"/forecast/measures/az/proposition-320"],["CO","Proposition NN","Raise TABOR cap for K-12 school funding",67.1,0.9525,0.5,"/forecast/measures/co/proposition-nn"],["CO","Amendment 81","Police must report undocumented violent offenders to DHS",51.8,0.373,0.55,"/forecast/measures/co/amendment-81"],["CO","Amendment 82","Constitutional right to natural gas",45.8,0.1815,0.55,"/forecast/measures/co/amendment-82"],["CO","Amendment 83","Constitutional right to hunt and fish",62.2,0.76,0.55,"/forecast/measures/co/amendment-83"],["CO","Amendment 84","ID number required on mail ballots",59.2,0.663,0.55,"/forecast/measures/co/amendment-84"],["CO","Amendment 85","Plain language ballot questions",43.0,0.1345,0.55,"/forecast/measures/co/amendment-85"],["CO","Amendment 86","Limits on mid decade congressional redistricting",38.8,0.0565,0.55,"/forecast/measures/co/amendment-86"],["CO","Amendment 87","Graduated income tax for schools and health",50.0,0.33,0.55,"/forecast/measures/co/amendment-87"],["CO","Proposition 132","Tougher fentanyl penalties",64.0,0.914,0.5,"/forecast/measures/co/proposition-132"],["CO","Proposition 133","Life without parole for child sex trafficking",64.0,0.914,0.5,"/forecast/measures/co/proposition-133"],["CO","Proposition 134","School sports teams by biological sex",52.1,0.582,0.5,"/forecast/measures/co/proposition-134"],["CO","Proposition 135","Ban gender transition surgeries for minors",52.1,0.5725,0.5,"/forecast/measures/co/proposition-135"],["CO","Proposition 136","Cap income tax rate at 4.4 percent",50.0,0.5095,0.5,"/forecast/measures/co/proposition-136"],["CO","Proposition 137","Sporting goods sales tax for conservation",55.0,0.693,0.5,"/forecast/measures/co/proposition-137"],["HI","Question 1","More Senate time on judicial appointments",63.4,0.8425,0.5319,"/forecast/measures/hi/question-1"],["HI","Question 2","County tax increment bonds for infrastructure",68.3,0.931,0.5319,"/forecast/measures/hi/question-2"],["ID","HJR 4","Only Legislature may legalize marijuana and drugs",60.9,0.8565,0.5,"/forecast/measures/id/hjr-4"],["ID","HJR 6","English as official state language",66.5,0.948,0.5,"/forecast/measures/id/hjr-6"],["ID","Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act","Restore abortion access before viability",42.6,0.2405,0.5,"/forecast/measures/id/reproductive-freedom-and-privacy-act"],["MT","CI-132","Keep judicial elections nonpartisan",51.6,0.597,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mt/ci-132"],["MT","CI-133","Protect initiative and referendum rights",49.5,0.487,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mt/ci-133"],["MT","I-194","Bar corporate political spending via charter limits",61.1,0.8595,0.5,"/forecast/measures/mt/i-194"],["NV","Question 6","Constitutional right to abortion until viability",64.0,0.9965,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nv/question-6"],["NV","Question 7","Photo voter ID requirement",64.0,0.998,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nv/question-7"],["NM","Constitutional Amendment 1","End pocket veto, require veto explanations",69.0,0.972,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nm/constitutional-amendment-1"],["NM","Constitutional Amendment 2","Allow school elections with partisan elections",59.9,0.8355,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nm/constitutional-amendment-2"],["NM","Constitutional Amendment 3","Nominating committee for university regents",65.1,0.9385,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nm/constitutional-amendment-3"],["NM","Constitutional Amendment 4","Tie legislator pay to median income",69.0,0.9685,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nm/constitutional-amendment-4"],["NM","Bond Question 1","Senior citizen facilities bond",65.6,0.945,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nm/bond-question-1"],["NM","Bond Question 2","Library acquisitions bond",65.6,0.938,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nm/bond-question-2"],["NM","Bond Question 3","Higher education and tribal schools bond",65.6,0.9305,0.5,"/forecast/measures/nm/bond-question-3"],["UT","Amendment A","Flexible publication of proposed amendments",63.4,0.91,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ut/amendment-a"],["UT","Amendment B","60 percent vote for tax raising initiatives",44.9,0.1735,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ut/amendment-b"],["WA","Initiative Measure No. IL26-638","Girls' sports limited to biological females",53.4,0.6835,0.5,"/forecast/measures/wa/initiative-measure-no-il26-638"],["WA","Initiative Measure No. IL26-001","Parents' Bill of Rights reinstatement",45.2,0.309,0.5,"/forecast/measures/wa/initiative-measure-no-il26-001"],["WA","Initiative Measure No. IP26-645","Repeal millionaires income tax, ban income taxes",43.4,0.134,0.5,"/forecast/measures/wa/initiative-measure-no-ip26-645"],["WY","Proposed Initiative Proposition Number One","50 percent homestead property tax exemption",68.4,0.9385,0.5319,"/forecast/measures/wy/proposed-initiative-proposition-number-one"],["AK","Ballot Measure 2","Repeal open primaries and ranked choice voting",47.5,0.3035,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ak/ballot-measure-2"],["AK","Ballot Measure 3","Only U.S. citizens may vote",77.7,0.9985,0.5,"/forecast/measures/ak/ballot-measure-3"]]}